Premier League · resolved market
Brighton vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66d14dcd9628f3019de612f8eb673676e945bdf71bea3379d918cb1bd1fd72a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 2,200$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 59c | 1,262$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.73 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 41c | 985.53$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.07 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 41c | 857.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.78 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 56c | 780.56$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.75 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 700$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.3 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 624.67$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…adcdbacked Yes | 58c | 397.88$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…00fcbacked Yes | 58c | 342.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…8b87backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2d…3ec7backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 42c | 244.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…08adbacked No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Yes | 59c | 193.61$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…b614backed Yes | 59c | 161.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Yes | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 60c | 103.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 58c | 89.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…2767backed Yes | 56c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 59c | 59.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 41c | 42.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…29f7backed No | 42c | 25.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 44c | 25.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 44c | 24.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Yes | 58c | 19.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Brighton vs. Aston Villa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton vs. Aston Villa: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Brighton (-1.5)Aston Villa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.