TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d5e…08ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+222.6%+$137.97
Manchester United vs. West Ham: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+108.3%+$104
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$142
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$46
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Brighton vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Brighton vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92
Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$68.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+61.3%+$76
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+127.3%+$377.98
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$17
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+285.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+108.3%+$104
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+463.4%+$164.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+96.1%+$97.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iceland beat Wales?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NLDS: Padres vs. Dodgers Game 3backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.