TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Indiana Hoosiers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Golden Gophersof Indiana Hoosiers, Minnesota Golden Gophers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,857 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x033f…618ebacked Indiana Hoosiers4c22,925$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.0127955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Indiana Hoosiers72c9,499$6,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,874.491,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers17c8,726$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,234.6612853.1%68 W · 60 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers17c7,448$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,172.345,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Minnesota Golden Gophers17c6,918$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,740.811,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers16c6,500$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,429.9412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Indiana Hoosiers37c4,850$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.931,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Indiana Hoosiers25c4,775$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.0715939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Minnesota Golden Gophers50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00011662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Indiana Hoosiers50c3,861$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.569142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Minnesota Golden Gophers38c3,718$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.8455657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Hoosiers44c3,260$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.275,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Minnesota Golden Gophers16c3,144$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.9674649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Minnesota Golden Gophers16c3,073$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5951,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers14c2,707$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.251,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1403855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Minnesota Golden Gophers17c1,902$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.4732337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Golden Gophers22c1,824$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.883,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers18c1,541$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.64,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers20c1,451$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers16c1,258$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.7452928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Minnesota Golden Gophers14c1,144$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.52,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Minnesota Golden Gophers18c1,012$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.044829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers16c800$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.821,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Minnesota Golden Gophers17c786.4$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.432630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Indiana Hoosiers24c650$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.081,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac01…2d77backed Minnesota Golden Gophers17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Indiana Hoosiers71c499.99$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.996157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d9…870ebacked Indiana Hoosiers76c491.28$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.731172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Minnesota Golden Gophers61c372.21$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4945644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Indiana Hoosiers44c329.14$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.913,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Minnesota Golden Gophers18c322.55$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.997626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef8…c6b7backed Indiana Hoosiers10c312$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Minnesota Golden Gophers15c300.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.016443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Minnesota Golden Gophers18c274.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1457448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Indiana Hoosiers6c269.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.152,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers23c257.73$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7877142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e80…09b8backed Indiana Hoosiers72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5e…08adbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers18c200$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+285.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Indiana Hoosiers20c192.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2623158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed Indiana Hoosiers11c184.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.151855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Indiana Hoosiers46c136.24$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.882147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Minnesota Golden Gophers19c126.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2110753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Minnesota Golden Gophers16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10565825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Minnesota Golden Gophers18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Minnesota Golden Gophers16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8434947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4085…583fbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers23c88.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+100.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…2afcbacked Indiana Hoosiers17c85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.281050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Minnesota Golden Gophers41c84.6$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.21,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers18c77.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7825438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Minnesota Golden Gophers30c64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.647660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.155740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…24e0backed Indiana Hoosiers80c49.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.99875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.