TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4085…583f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2520%5 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 NORD vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$59.15
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$662.94
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
First Blood in Game 2?backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Barça eSports vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffsbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100.7
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$256
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffsbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$59.55
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$109.87
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$99
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+132.6%+$131.1
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+284.6%+$592
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+212.5%+$36.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$160.04
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.14
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55.65
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$73.87
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$70.79
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 250.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.97
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Heat vs. Magic: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$115.48
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+58.7%+$85.18
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$94.12
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+346.3%+$69.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+185.4%+$37.07
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$40.79
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+117.4%+$70.43
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Brentford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+35.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+74%+$22.03
Sharks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hurricanes vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+106.1%+$42.43
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Sabres vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Jets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+163.2%+$65.26
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Valencia win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.55
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+64.5%+$64.48
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$106.67
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+429.9%+$968.29
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$35.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Troy vs. James Madisonbacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Fresno State vs. San Jose Statebacked San Jose State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
SMU Mustangs vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+50%+$49.97
LSU vs. Oklahomabacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Colorado vs. Kansas State: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-21.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+77.1%+$77.1
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.63
Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$40
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+54.9%+$54.94
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+56.3%+$52.21
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+100.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Washington Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.99
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+340.7%+$68.14
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$65.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$272.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+185.7%+$190.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$123.4
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix dip to $70 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will NVIDIA dip to $156 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,233.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+3,233.3%+$679
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+170.3%+$170.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+127.2%+$254.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$148.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE (BO3)backed FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.