TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes0c99,964$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9617537.1%65 W · 110 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes71c58,075$41,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,000955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No30c34,045$10,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,677.091,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c25,160$11,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,366.924,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c18,383$6,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,8653,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x493c…a6eebacked Yes0c17,390$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes55c4,999$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.276240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes58c4,947$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.491136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked No34c4,913$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.971040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No35c4,579$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,967.1774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No24c4,087$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.741952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes65c3,999$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.6115044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Yes55c3,745$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0721040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes64c3,324$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.1630634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9508243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…489fbacked Yes67c2,753$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No60c2,586$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.56575.4%49 W · 16 L+15.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No49c2,323$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.6655941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes49c2,123$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.719662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.957922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x421d…320abacked Yes63c1,801$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes38c1,687$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.4910927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c1,478$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.062,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No34c1,408$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.7820159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes65c1,221$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.611020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Yes18c999.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No35c946.79$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.5183650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No36c926.38$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.884946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No35c900$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5854334.9%15 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes64c860$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.413551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes27c796.13$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9310039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0fc…b59ebacked No2c700$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6861100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes65c615.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes67c597.54$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Yes39c585$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.151546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes52c582$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9883939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No63c579.29$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4941147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes33c570$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.11827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c87…3b59backed Yes63c529.31$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3333056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes24c527.49$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.615034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes64c503.03$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9219344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes63c498.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.359347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No63c498.88$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2249057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes52c488.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5737039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed No37c469.64$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.533246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No50c457$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.58143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedcd…a1c7backed Yes56c449.58$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.771747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed No77c438.88$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.451553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes65c420.77$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.58254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010416.3%17 W · 87 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes50c403.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed No63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.43100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes65c387.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No41c336$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.181154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes65c308.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005834.5%20 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes52c308.2$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.273050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked No40c307.81$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.31050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x941f…7f8cbacked Yes65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3f…0438backed No36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No36c271.15$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.920452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes21c265.81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8217541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Yes65c231$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.151060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes20c230.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457431.1%23 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes34c223.4$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8516036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes64c218.75$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No35c211.2$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.669353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1349545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Yes65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No37c200$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12815147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe56e…dc0cbacked Yes56c196.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Yes65c192.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes65c190.78$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.019966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No38c172.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.341070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed No37c170.27$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.271643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No36c159.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.624546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2c…3fb4backed Yes63c157.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007361.6%45 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c6e…81ebbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-56.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae8…0e50backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007865.4%51 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5915940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No40c147.46$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3112722.8%29 W · 98 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2538…b975backed Yes65c137.36$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No30c135$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.58751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No35c132$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3229946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc2…4837backed Yes20c130$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9512255.7%68 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd7c…6d35backed Yes21c130$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2116…d3c2backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6564…8846backed Yes57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.42227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.