La Liga · resolved market
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe53afe4cec835a923ecbd5626c7f3efd4379cc31b22988bb960a273808741ad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 1,526$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.77 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 37c | 1,200$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.47 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 20c | 934.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.58 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 873.22$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.82 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 734.43$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.33 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 71c | 584.98$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.1 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 35c | 570$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.62 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Yes | 47c | 455.75$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 311.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.36 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked No | 34c | 295.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 22c | 288.14$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 22c | 276.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.63 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ab…8d7cbacked Yes | 30c | 256.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Yes | 71c | 252$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 30c | 197.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No | 77c | 176$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 41c | 164.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 146.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 78c | 127$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…d3c2backed Yes | 30c | 126.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 34c | 123.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 103.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 54c | 92.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 62c | 89.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 38c | 80.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 62c | 80.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 22c | 69.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…b157backed Yes | 24c | 69.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked No | 72c | 68.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…ccd1backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b5a2backed Yes | 40c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 71c | 41.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 41c | 41.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 54c | 36.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef3…2cd8backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9a…c421backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +134.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 71c | 27.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 24.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-13?No won
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-01-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.