TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a7e…b5a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.86
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$39.67
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.06
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$113.75
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Peru vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Northern Ireland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Northern Ireland: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Peru?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Haiti vs. Peru end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Haiti vs. Peru: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Azerbaijan vs. Malta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will San Marino vs. Bangladesh end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indonesia vs. Oman: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. Serbia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.63
Guatemala vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Poland vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Luxembourg vs. Italy: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Wales vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$20.65
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49%+$187.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$1,653.65
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.75
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$44.48
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+39%+$27.05
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+26.2%+$32.17
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$52.17
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+128.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+132.6%+$32.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$511
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.