TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,766,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,534,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,766,120 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,009 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e4d…b874backed Yes26c1,000,000$260,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No70c865,171$606,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606,839.0174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed No74c500,000$370,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369,999.999142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No74c249,997$184,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184,998.1433538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No73c240,888$176,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176,840.632,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Yes26c222,048$57,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,315.839747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No42c168,338$71,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,168.51,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c119,820$50,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,309.564,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes40c108,284$43,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,594.620955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…f568backed Yes26c106,632$27,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,907.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Yes26c101,613$26,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,193.45560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+54.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c87,243$40,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,457.098,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No67c77,048$51,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,862.531,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe2…2c95backed Yes64c71,369$45,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,611.32045%9 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c28…9e49backed Yes30c63,091$19,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,991.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+65.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Yes35c57,588$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,587.625523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed No63c57,500$36,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,2259451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No75c56,913$42,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,684.7521029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes57c56,837$32,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,648.3442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c55,818$29,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,401.043,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes30c55,394$16,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,885.1742345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No61c44,918$27,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,510.0724441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes25c44,201$11,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,004.951,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes26c40,000$10,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,585.344537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Yes65c38,488$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,487.66943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Yes46c32,890$15,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,768.23324.2%8 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9896…a925backed Yes26c32,500$8,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,0503036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No53c31,235$16,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,401.0249441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No52c31,100$16,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,044.8431945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No75c26,609$19,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,956.4429952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3d…8554backed No60c25,568$15,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,464.262560%15 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes43c24,269$10,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,904.1164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes57c24,113$13,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,413.0266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Yes30c22,520$6,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,764.022437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No74c22,222$16,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,444.2821836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes24c20,732$4,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,756.2615552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes25c20,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,999.8521937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes65c19,732$12,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,915.953,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2873…b184backed Yes79c19,705$15,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,056.681752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes26c17,224$4,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,745.8263035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No61c16,775$10,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,198.3633337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed No75c16,665$12,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,498.7517452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No20c16,613$3,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,333.5630117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked No0c16,020$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.021,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes79c15,908$12,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,340.681,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No74c14,999$11,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,099.477269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eab…7badbacked Yes27c14,815$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,814.81837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes79c13,930$11,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Yes35c13,566$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,766.12532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c5…dbcfbacked Yes26c13,000$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6602133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked No73c12,841$9,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,331.0212432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe708…c3aabacked No25c11,870$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004112.2%5 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…3f1cbacked No57c11,836$6,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,724.4124939%97 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes26c11,289$2,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,353.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes75c11,284$8,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.562,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c10,587$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,956.911,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No59c10,512$6,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,217.632,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No67c10,343$6,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,910.694,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b49…d151backed Yes29c10,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,1002825%7 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Yes27c10,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3004158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Yes26c10,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,399.927035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes26c9,615$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,115.3817443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes27c9,005$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,561.4979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c8,401$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,329.21,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed No54c8,311$4,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,478.1615335.3%54 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes77c8,304$6,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.332656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No61c7,883$4,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,804.3942043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Yes29c7,823$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,554.1761750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No74c7,500$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,55074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No74c7,464$5,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,523.3617745.8%81 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes36c7,433$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,743.2588838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Yes56c7,378$4,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,260.29650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes25c7,106$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,329.772,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c05…9e9fbacked No54c6,296$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick28cpaid-85.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8be4…b795backed Yes25c5,908$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4316633.3%22 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7763…7830backed Yes80c5,760$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.046233.9%21 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b58…eba2backed Yes29c5,693$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,042.519934.3%34 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes40c5,397$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,225.8922229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No75c5,176$3,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,882.6484738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes41c4,866$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.2565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes25c4,785$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,584.627229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked Yes68c4,525$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.96560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked Yes26c4,500$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3302828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes28c4,470$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,204.0773626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02c…ffd5backed Yes29c4,149$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.621241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes27c4,111$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,001.1112334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes30c4,019$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.0434964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No74c4,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,96046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9feb…971fbacked Yes25c3,988$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,983.54922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc087…dbbabacked Yes26c3,846$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.157541.3%31 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf375…f105backed Yes26c3,842$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,843.315745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No75c3,764$2,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.3517842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No30c3,652$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.3229333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes25c3,500$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,62518027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f5f…c63dbacked Yes72c3,472$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.221250%6 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfeee…20fbbacked Yes61c3,444$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.182445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No74c3,378$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.9922643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed Yes30c3,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.332951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d8c…99f6backed Yes26c3,331$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.776240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Yes41c3,136$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.4612536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.