TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3561…d87c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,408.33
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,170.79
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$2,403.27
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.75
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100.46
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,120.34
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,783.88
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$70.94
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$9,482Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$6,481.21
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,904.46
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,559.4
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,400
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,523.08
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$12,241.38
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,500
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+182.6%+$8,766.1
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,300
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,881Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$7,407.13
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,000
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+146.4%+$5,708.18
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,359
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,412
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,632Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$3,731.45
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,900
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$6,456.52
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$7,000
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203.7%+$4,073.16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,618.28
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,868.83
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Bbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,177.77
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,868.04
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19,788Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$16,508.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$9,143.51
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,000
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$7,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,500
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$8,867.92
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11,392Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$10,322.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$13,623.71
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$8,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,270.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,038.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.