TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,739,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,096,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,739,460 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,749 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No72c258,353$185,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185,679.8274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes33c78,854$26,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,831.9442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No42c67,450$28,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,589.351,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No71c45,418$32,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,164.0542541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked No72c39,999$28,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,799.647050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c38,835$10,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,975.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No41c26,147$10,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,739.921,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Yes78c25,546$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,546.396943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c25,058$17,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,253.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9896…a925backed Yes28c23,540$6,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,948.83036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No73c22,406$16,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,356.382,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c21,946$9,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,782.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked No71c20,560$14,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,659.0715044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No21c18,246$3,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,754.6130117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes27c17,888$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,057.8917842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd9…cd04backed Yes28c16,435$4,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,832.971369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+51.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No73c15,379$11,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,153.7929952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c05…9e9fbacked Yes32c15,275$4,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,387214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick28cpaid-85.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No72c14,999$10,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.217269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8213…7c86backed Yes64c14,664$9,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,234.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Yes27c14,488$3,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,576.2112846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc13c…a202backed Yes70c14,286$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,285.711338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes60c13,718$8,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,512.2133337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No47c12,674$5,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,978.2145039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No57c11,882$6,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,723.6856541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes31c11,164$3,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,662.7879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No64c10,747$6,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,833.3416833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Yes28c10,482$2,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,547.146633.3%22 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Yes28c10,288$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,407.132532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b49…d151backed No73c10,000$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,299.972825%7 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Yes27c10,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,299.9614829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed No71c9,790$6,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,906.139451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Yes63c9,314$5,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,446.2910562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes66c8,282$5,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,816.017238.9%28 W · 44 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes33c7,576$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,075.764341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes57c7,508$4,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,264.7242043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Yes27c7,500$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,474.966149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081f…a34ebacked Yes28c6,958$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,009.552433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No74c6,943$5,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,135.7884738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c6,856$3,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,555.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a8…a539backed Yes33c6,061$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,060.61147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No73c6,000$4,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,38022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No27c5,856$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.92,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes28c5,595$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,027.6673626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02c…ffd5backed Yes28c5,566$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,007.311241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes36c5,556$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.5612266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes28c5,357$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,857.1421442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes27c5,300$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,868.997544%33 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7d…26c4backed No73c5,245$3,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,828.61966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Yes65c5,054$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.617660.5%46 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8be4…b795backed Yes28c5,021$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,615.436633.3%22 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes28c5,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60010734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3b5…bef4backed Yes27c5,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,650540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9701…dd5fbacked Yes62c4,803$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.981250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d16…f032backed Yes63c4,627$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.985639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x760f…326abacked Yes28c4,179$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.571747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes28c4,139$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,979.855749.1%28 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Yes28c4,100$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9524348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes28c4,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.9723729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5c…174ebacked Yes28c3,571$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.435450%27 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2a…ee9abacked No73c3,526$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,574450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe331…ec8cbacked Yes78c3,403$2,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.151957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No59c3,402$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.3374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes27c3,400$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4823441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa137…9ac4backed Yes48c3,359$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.48520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-58.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Yes28c3,357$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.8612248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed No73c3,232$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.7965835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Yes32c3,133$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.575062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1255257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.6wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+48.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12514546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes28c3,086$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.7116319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x506b…b0febacked Yes30c3,000$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.526111.5%7 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes27c3,000$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.612556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.923255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No68c2,909$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.2388838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No51c2,750$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.4929333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked No73c2,740$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Yes28c2,735$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.0514231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed No73c2,627$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.711442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes63c2,619$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.8238734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Yes27c2,593$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.5917751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes31c2,589$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.815550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes35c2,587$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.2417569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3b…583bbacked Yes73c2,583$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.648944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes28c2,503$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.037229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Yes36c2,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60020547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No69c2,477$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.7524441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d2…1b70backed Yes30c2,474$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.968243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f21…805ebacked Yes42c2,382$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.178023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No66c2,360$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.682,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b4…ebebbacked Yes66c2,289$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.942250%11 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No73c2,239$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.191560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes59c2,229$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.220560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Yes30c2,135$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.818626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Yes61c2,131$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.155143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes60c2,100$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84021166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No73c2,092$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.577458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Yes27c2,085$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.75540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+22.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes63c2,024$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.8124539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes43c2,020$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.267846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.