TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb22a…a80d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT7157.7%41 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.44
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.8
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12,886Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6,638.41
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.9%+$483.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+203.7%+$56.78
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$599.95
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,694Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$564.5
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,529Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$624.47
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$497.49
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,775
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.64
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,834
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.67
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+165.3%+$81.35
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,056Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$7,532.01
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,603.01
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$98.7
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$95.99
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$36.01
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$502.92
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$262.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$420.97
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+147.1%+$637.24
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,627Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$3,780.81
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$388.95
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,173.78
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.06
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,038Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+136.3%+$4,141.43
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,527Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$5,101.55
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$994Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$314.05
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,044.75
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$8,999.98
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$163.38
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$1,038.18
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.23
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$402.82
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bearsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$18.5
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landersbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+225.5%+$145.87
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wizbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.43
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.08
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$202.69
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$94.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.7
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.6
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,915Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$641.19
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.63
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,383.83
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$911.3
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$180.85
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.45
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.96
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$476.79
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$4,756.9
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$123.57
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,078Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$1,475.59
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,039Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$784.93
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,707.47
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,234.59
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$633
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.32
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$65.9
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$59.02
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60.44
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.28
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,963Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$597.43
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$46.84
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+97%+$240.72
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$40.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$198.44
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.28
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$482.74
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$828.57
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$75
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$358.29
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lazer Cats - Map 2 Winnerbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$207.54
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group Cbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+149.9%+$149.93
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$47.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.31
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.07
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+45.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,210.24
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$415.82
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$295.53
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$288
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+124.6%+$498.33
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$217.59
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,561Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$1,310.35
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$754.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+22.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$306.56
Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,019.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.