TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Boston Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,261,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,319,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,261,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Minnesota Twins40c591,550$237,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354,287.5521040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox59c252,393$148,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,260.62,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox61c142,537$86,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,947.5150153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins44c68,868$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,867.9198149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox61c58,111$35,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,286.3238148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Boston Red Sox61c50,000$30,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,50055053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox58c36,000$20,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,88077053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Boston Red Sox62c32,740$20,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,298.712937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins48c25,538$12,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,221.31,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Minnesota Twins51c24,242$12,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,878.7926056.9%148 W · 112 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox55c22,822$12,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,511.8111,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Minnesota Twins45c20,564$9,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,280.542360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox40c20,380$8,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,123.912,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Minnesota Twins40c15,625$6,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,37523846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox53c13,449$7,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,166.4510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox61c11,784$7,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,159.681,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Boston Red Sox61c10,791$6,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,548.0155052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox61c10,683$6,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,491.981,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed Boston Red Sox21c10,092$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.647132.4%23 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Minnesota Twins40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.9953150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Boston Red Sox59c9,322$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50043554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox59c9,146$5,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,363.825,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins74c8,727$6,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.764,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox27c8,501$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.578,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Twins35c8,012$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,207.9885645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Minnesota Twins38c6,545$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,058.049153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Boston Red Sox61c5,500$3,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35517248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Minnesota Twins40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0007338.4%28 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Minnesota Twins38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.9844945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Minnesota Twins40c4,950$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,97066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Boston Red Sox59c4,711$2,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.381735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Boston Red Sox61c4,575$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,812.7657548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Minnesota Twins40c4,167$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.214252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Boston Red Sox55c4,140$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.961,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Minnesota Twins51c4,040$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.815659%92 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox54c3,403$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.641,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox61c3,277$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.672,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Boston Red Sox32c3,097$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008053.8%43 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Minnesota Twins35c2,948$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.2611057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Boston Red Sox31c2,940$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.429948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Boston Red Sox60c2,542$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52559549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox58c2,207$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.941,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox59c2,201$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.022,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8505…e4ddbacked Boston Red Sox14c2,177$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox49c2,165$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.334,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Minnesota Twins79c2,062$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0521841.3%90 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox61c2,050$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.51,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Boston Red Sox26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52015650.6%79 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Minnesota Twins25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50025240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Boston Red Sox59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.9970744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Boston Red Sox9c1,995$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5284140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins39c1,970$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.082,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Minnesota Twins42c1,926$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.9511948.7%58 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Minnesota Twins71c1,831$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.997751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…d001backed Boston Red Sox61c1,735$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins59c1,713$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.059,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox59c1,590$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.169453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Boston Red Sox1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201085.6%6 W · 102 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+339.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox68c1,392$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.135,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox58c1,389$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.622,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Minnesota Twins23c1,388$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.0815949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc20…2d0dbacked Minnesota Twins73c1,371$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox47c1,352$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.513,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Minnesota Twins80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Boston Red Sox60c1,200$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72086653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.4832742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Boston Red Sox69c1,189$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.0753261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins60c1,127$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.078,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Boston Red Sox58c1,072$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.921747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins75c1,072$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.612,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox59c1,008$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.361,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Minnesota Twins42c1,001$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.673748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Boston Red Sox58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Twins42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58061947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Minnesota Twins40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60011941.2%49 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Boston Red Sox61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6109350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Minnesota Twins40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Minnesota Twins68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3202152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox58c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.991,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed Minnesota Twins41c999.98$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.994652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Minnesota Twins53c996.56$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.4657744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Twins61c980$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3882636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Boston Red Sox36c888$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.682951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf4c…39e5backed Minnesota Twins40c886.73$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.041926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58ed…b2d8backed Minnesota Twins79c883.16$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.4612100%12 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9301…82abbacked Boston Red Sox54c805.56$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.5940%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x941b…7873backed Boston Red Sox37c803.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins42c785$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.31,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox59c781$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.071,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Boston Red Sox58c775.84$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9919246.9%90 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Boston Red Sox73c730$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.9742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+224.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9da0…523cbacked Minnesota Twins65c716.06$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.251163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Minnesota Twins42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.2913743.8%60 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins58c706.09$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.6812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Boston Red Sox2c700$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Minnesota Twins42c700$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40632850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins68c698.32$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.746,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Minnesota Twins40c666.75$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.054052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c67…1075backed Minnesota Twins57c666$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.385172.5%37 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox37c613.7$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.996,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.