MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ceda99db2358414122cb3aae10a70423a6bf5587c25d84fa2557bb6ac82225e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,261,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,319,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,261,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 591,550$237,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354,287.55 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 252,393$148,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148,260.6 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 142,537$86,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,947.51 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 68,868$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,867.91 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 58,111$35,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,286.32 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 50,000$30,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,500 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 36,000$20,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,880 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 32,740$20,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,298.71 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 25,538$12,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,221.3 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 24,242$12,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,878.79 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 22,822$12,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,511.81 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 20,564$9,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,280.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 20,380$8,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,123.91 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 15,625$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,375 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 13,449$7,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,166.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 11,784$7,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,159.68 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 10,791$6,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,548.01 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 10,683$6,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,491.98 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Boston Red Sox | 21c | 10,092$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.64 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 9,322$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 9,146$5,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,363.82 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 74c | 8,727$6,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.76 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 8,501$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.57 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 8,012$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,207.98 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 6,545$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.04 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 5,500$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.98 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 4,950$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 4,711$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 4,575$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.76 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 4,167$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.2 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 4,140$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.96 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 4,040$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.8 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,403$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.64 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 3,277$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.67 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 3,097$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Minnesota Twins | 35c | 2,948$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.26 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 2,940$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.4 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 2,542$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 2,207$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.94 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,201$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.02 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8505…e4ddbacked Boston Red Sox | 14c | 2,177$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 2,165$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.33 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Minnesota Twins | 79c | 2,062$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.05 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 2,050$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Boston Red Sox | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Boston Red Sox | 9c | 1,995$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,970$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.08 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,926$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.95 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Minnesota Twins | 71c | 1,831$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.99 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…d001backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,735$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 1,713$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,590$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.1 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Boston Red Sox | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 68c | 1,392$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.13 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,389$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.62 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 1,388$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.08 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…2d0dbacked Minnesota Twins | 73c | 1,371$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,352$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.51 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Minnesota Twins | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 1,189$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.07 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 1,127$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.07 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,072$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 1,072$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.61 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,008$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.36 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,001$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.6 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Minnesota Twins | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 996.56$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.46 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 980$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.38 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 888$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…39e5backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 886.73$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.04 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…b2d8backed Minnesota Twins | 79c | 883.16$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…82abbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 805.56$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…7873backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 803.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 785$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.3 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 781$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.07 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 775.84$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Boston Red Sox | 73c | 730$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +224.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…523cbacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 716.06$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 706.09$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Boston Red Sox | 2c | 700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 68c | 698.32$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.74 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 666.75$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.05 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 666$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.38 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 613.7$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.99 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.