TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7e8…5c8c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
358
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT11057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$819.79
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$703.4
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,578.63
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,025.63
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.89
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,990
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$66
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26%+$313.66
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+134.3%+$4,241.14
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,376Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$2,723.46
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,455.94
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,345.6
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,060Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,940
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$996.87
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$498.38
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$883.57
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$171.99
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.93
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$204.49
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$457.24
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$128.54
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,474Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,040.24
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT6152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.7
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$105.3
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$992.13
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$832.84
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,069Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$8,045.52
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,841Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,227.24
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.5
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.52
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$70.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,439.44
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,359.42
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$510.63
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48.64
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$14.57
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$52.02
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+188.7%+$823.6
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.85
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.1
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.81
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.88
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.99
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.5
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$721.12
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.5
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.05
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.22
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.61
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,029.06
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,881Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,881.33
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$22.55
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$17.74
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.4
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$19.92
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.04
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.96
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,073.39
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.09
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$117.3
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$23.57
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,583.85
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$103.24
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14,472.41
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,378Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+32.1%+$762.45
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$171.43
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,610Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$866.9
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+77.7%+$514.18
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,826.88
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$645
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$829Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$600.6
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$235.82
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+123.9%+$312.6
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$35
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+194.1%+$575.42
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+26.3%+$78.18
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$169.54
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,360
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$106.88
49ers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$201.3
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$78.3
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+163.2%+$295.74
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+55.3%+$276.36
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$218.68
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$208.47
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2025, EST1811.1%2 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$28.85
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+614.4%+$1,087.44
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$122.5
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+1,358.8%+$543.51
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$82.88
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$130.82
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.9
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$105.35
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$99.06
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$962.92
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.17
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.38
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$384.36
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$375.64
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$196.96
Will “A Merry Little Ex-Mas” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 18 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.43
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 18 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$42.55
Will “Squid Game: The Challenge: Season 2” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.92
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$887.83
Will “Death by Lightning” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+698.6%+$2,540.48
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-89.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$41.22
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+27.9%+$195.92
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.4
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.72
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$509.86
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$4,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,776.59
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,228.95
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,511.22
Will Powell say "Volatile" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$286.48
Will Powell say "Energy" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$240.34
Will Powell say "Median" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$297.38
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-65.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Dylan Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,601.26
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.87
National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$596.31
Hagen: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Tom Gentzschbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.84
Vancouver: Jiajing Lu vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,077.49
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.07
The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.26
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.3
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-76.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick13cpaid+66.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-71.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$69.48
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+222.6%+$2,272.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,523Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+143%+$5,039.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+79.1%+$553.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,470.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State vs. Ohio Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$936.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.