Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60a6042337283bf2a1441be185d25fd46ab26bd29ff17d498125dcf3fd7e1f75

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 3, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $279,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $225,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,623 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes	1c	24,612$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268	261	12.6%33 W · 228 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	22c	13,084$2,813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,813.35	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Yes	0c	8,900$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes	3c	8,474$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.19	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f76…8e57backed Yes	0c	7,777$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	106	20.8%22 W · 84 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	1c	6,309$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.93	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	29c	5,907$1,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,708.33	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	11c	5,610$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.16	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc91…8556backed No	65c	5,608$3,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,983.24	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab8e…3d89backed Yes	40c	5,005$1,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,985.52	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccab…cb62backed Yes	2c	4,715$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.1	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x192d…7d47backed Yes	12c	4,269$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.78	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x364d…1739backed Yes	39c	3,280$1,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,281.3	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.31per pick	48cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes	19c	3,192$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.66	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	7c	3,188$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.51	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e8…77d2backed Yes	31c	2,773$871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.18	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked No	72c	2,770$1,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787.83	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes	11c	2,475$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	23c	2,469$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.33	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed Yes	23c	2,046$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.07	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Yes	1c	2,021$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes	52c	2,005$1,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,043.31	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf13…7889backed Yes	23c	2,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3258…9e52backed Yes	13c	1,949$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.97	71	9.9%7 W · 64 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76eb…525abacked Yes	18c	1,880$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.52	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Yes	33c	1,822$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	7c	1,796$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.5	85	23.5%20 W · 65 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	40c	1,758$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.93	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x573d…3507backed Yes	14c	1,742$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.16	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf982…1c15backed Yes	16c	1,639$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ce7…27e7backed Yes	14c	1,408$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+129.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	16c	1,293$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.91	143	14.7%21 W · 122 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	29c	1,287$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.4	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2104…a495backed Yes	22c	1,254$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.6	104	7.7%8 W · 96 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5023…3f6abacked Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+104%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…126fbacked Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+78.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…5acabacked Yes	12c	999.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb29…625bbacked Yes	18c	940.33$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.72	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…e6b2backed Yes	38c	889.68$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.24	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b6…b5bcbacked Yes	11c	804.53$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.5	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+68.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes	18c	799.99$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes	15c	774.94$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.36	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c7…e48dbacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes	31c	756.06$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.8	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a7…9c79backed No	79c	740.08$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.42	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Yes	35c	708.37$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Yes	27c	706.93$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.78	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11c8…be84backed Yes	34c	703.08$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.64	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-37%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No	65c	683.74$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.37	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+83.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed No	72c	669.83$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.58	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-33%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e80…3082backed No	77c	649.35$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed Yes	7c	642.98$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.19	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb4…f360backed Yes	28c	628.7$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.68	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes	12c	613.03$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.06	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Yes	44c	600$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.05	93	8.6%8 W · 85 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15f6…e98fbacked Yes	29c	591.97$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.94	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfda4…4547backed Yes	22c	564.39$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.19	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Yes	17c	563.96$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.87	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes	21c	529.81$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.26	142	18.3%26 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+124.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	14c	524.21$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.87	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf646…88c4backed Yes	12c	521$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.68	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Yes	6c	515$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Yes	4c	510$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.93	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed No	61c	504.36$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.7	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ce…f9bfbacked Yes	38c	500.41$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.33	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b1…7f56backed Yes	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcac2…d644backed Yes	5c	500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x850d…5d3cbacked Yes	35c	500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2958…0c6dbacked Yes	4c	423.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	84	13.1%11 W · 73 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x969a…e4c5backed Yes	4c	411$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.09	113	10.6%12 W · 101 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-56%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	6c	400.51$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.95	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20bd…3a63backed Yes	19c	400$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22ab…0e9cbacked Yes	21c	399.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf749…61a6backed No	79c	398.73$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.73	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1013…7e57backed Yes	42c	397.3$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.51	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b5…7717backed Yes	13c	382.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	19c	370.78$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.73	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	38c	364.89$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.66	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes	37c	351.37$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.76	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c47…174bbacked Yes	12c	350$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	+162.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfac3…2930backed No	63c	335.48$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.13	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	63cpaid	+60%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…618fbacked Yes	37c	335.48$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b3…87b8backed No	14c	319.67$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.91	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x514f…7bb7backed Yes	8c	311.63$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec6…4f34backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No	71c	294$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.5	106	65.1%69 W · 37 L	+7.8wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x929e…1935backed Yes	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	+136.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa1…1928backed Yes	35c	280.21$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.24	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	32cpaid	-63%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x581d…24c3backed No	69c	272.36$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.35	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.23per pick	41cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x202f…01a8backed Yes	22c	267.24$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa63d…7c74backed No	62c	263.26$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa87…55adbacked Yes	38c	263.26$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.04	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d4f…99f0backed Yes	8c	260.35$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7961…2a74backed Yes	38c	260.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes	45c	257.51$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.88	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5931…67c8backed Yes	42c	243.54$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.29	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Yes	27c	240$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.6	54	7.4%4 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes	13c	239.45$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.59	170	12.9%22 W · 148 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4a1…7a73backed Yes	21c	238.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	32cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3?this page
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event