TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe35d…f5d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
698
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT65623.2%152 W · 504 L+1.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 656 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+268.7%+$82.44
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.4
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$27.82
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.28
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$46.83
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+422.4%+$58.1
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$75.37
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$36.98
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+30%+$28.63
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.38
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$39.85
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$24.38
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.71
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$194.39
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.17
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+162.2%+$168.36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.49
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+134.5%+$23.78
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.71
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$94.74
Showing 25 of 656 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
White Sox vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13
Angels vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$24.6
Orioles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$25.2
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$42.6
Nationals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.79
Nationals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Reds vs. Cardinalsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+166.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Cincinnati - Rublev vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick28cpaid+263.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$92.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa State vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk say "Crypto/Bitcoin/Doge" during the August 6 AMA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+67.5%+$80.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Immigrant" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+60.8%+$28.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$43.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Verona win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.