MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4844bf48e214964fe97d400a084ea3bb628af84fe4de239aaf00f10b9255826f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Phillies | 56c | 115,661$64,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,893.43 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 44c | 63,475$27,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,762.82 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Marlins | 42c | 34,745$14,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,567.02 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 43c | 16,423$7,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,110.2 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 58c | 13,345$7,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,604.69 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 60c | 11,510$6,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.22 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 44c | 10,289$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.28 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 40c | 9,428$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.44 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Marlins | 44c | 9,082$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.99 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 33c | 8,328$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.23 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 58c | 7,258$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.12 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 38c | 6,146$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 56c | 5,200$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.97 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Phillies | 57c | 3,571$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.26 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Phillies | 59c | 3,554$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.41 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Phillies | 58c | 2,883$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.87 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Phillies | 57c | 2,800$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 58c | 2,581$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.53 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 56c | 2,510$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.4 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 57c | 2,442$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.78 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Marlins | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Marlins | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.98 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,861$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.19 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked Phillies | 61c | 1,664$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Phillies | 53c | 1,663$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.86 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…fa41backed Marlins | 39c | 1,662$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 38c | 1,656$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.46 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Phillies | 58c | 1,244$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.36 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Phillies | 57c | 1,240$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.7 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,238$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.76 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Phillies | 36c | 1,101$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.36 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 38c | 1,051$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 56c | 839.54$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Phillies | 39c | 830.57$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.6 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Marlins | 27c | 732.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.82 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 37c | 566.83$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.39 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Phillies | 55c | 550.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.08 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Phillies | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Phillies | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 58c | 517$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Phillies | 52c | 467.31$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.31 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96f…cfc4backed Phillies | 58c | 463.79$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 57c | 439.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.03 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Marlins | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Phillies | 55c | 399.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 15c | 376$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Phillies | 59c | 369$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.29 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Phillies | 62c | 357.82$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.82 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Phillies | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Phillies | 57c | 336.84$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Marlins | 46c | 331.44$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.21 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Phillies | 57c | 316.5$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Marlins | 67c | 309.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…2248backed Phillies | 57c | 299.95$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Phillies | 60c | 281.63$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Phillies | 58c | 270$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 40c | 265$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Phillies | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 58c | 238.21$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…1ce0backed Phillies | 57c | 215$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Phillies | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Phillies | 50c | 192.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…47d8backed Marlins | 50c | 160.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Marlins | 46c | 131.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Phillies | 54c | 127.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Marlins | 43c | 122.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Marlins | 38c | 119.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 15c | 115.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…e356backed Phillies | 48c | 113.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…e3adbacked Phillies | 57c | 113.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Marlins | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63e8…aeb6backed Marlins | 44c | 112.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Marlins | 44c | 106.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 43c | 102$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…d72fbacked Marlins | 44c | 100.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 38c | 100.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Marlins | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 57c | 97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…6f9cbacked Phillies | 57c | 96.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…ca58backed Marlins | 44c | 95.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…4c11backed Marlins | 44c | 89.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…fc62backed Phillies | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…80ccbacked Phillies | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…487dbacked Phillies | 57c | 84.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Phillies | 58c | 83.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…f5aabacked Phillies | 57c | 81.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Phillies | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a4…83afbacked Marlins | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 56c | 79.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Marlins | 55c | 78.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.