NFL · resolved market
Seahawks vs. Packers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a4d5ef2005230c02e07cd1f5424d68eeb46edaadf19440563aaadd1b3c89cbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packers of Seahawks , Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Packers | 60c | 16,716$10,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,641.98 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Seahawks | 39c | 14,823$5,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,781.06 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Packers | 68c | 4,114$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.51 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Seahawks | 43c | 2,696$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.08 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Seahawks | 1c | 2,025$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Seahawks | 20c | 1,898$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.59 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Seahawks | 43c | 1,850$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.5 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Seahawks | 7c | 1,449$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Seahawks | 23c | 1,253$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Seahawks | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Packers | 75c | 776.48$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Packers | 57c | 706.75$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.9 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Seahawks | 38c | 675.45$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…eff6backed Seahawks | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Seahawks | 11c | 592.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Seahawks | 6c | 555.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Seahawks | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad4…ff91backed Seahawks | 13c | 380.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Seahawks | 43c | 367.05$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Seahawks | 44c | 326.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Packers | 62c | 303.34$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.52 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Seahawks | 43c | 275$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Seahawks | 41c | 243.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Seahawks | 42c | 239.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Seahawks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Seahawks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seahawks | 6c | 220.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Packers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Seahawks | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…424dbacked Seahawks | 43c | 179.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Seahawks | 38c | 130.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Seahawks | 38c | 124.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Packers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Seahawks | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Seahawks | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Seahawks | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Packers | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Packers | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Packers | 59c | 85.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Packers | 74c | 63.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Seahawks | 42c | 60.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Seahawks | 37c | 54.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…27debacked Seahawks | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa82…4864backed Packers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Packers | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Packers | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Packers | 59c | 48.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda27…06bcbacked Seahawks | 43c | 47.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Seahawks | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa310…4c56backed Seahawks | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…d2debacked Packers | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Seahawks | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…0865backed Seahawks | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Packers | 60c | 39.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Packers | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…b492backed Seahawks | 44c | 34.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…d4b9backed Packers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Seahawks | 39c | 30.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Seahawks | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Packers | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Seahawks | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Seahawks | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Packers | 59c | 21.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Packers | 59c | 17.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d6…796dbacked Packers | 63c | 16.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.