TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac29…fa88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
379
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST28659.4%170 W · 116 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 286 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+164.6%+$82.3
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+76.4%+$38.21
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.66
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Miami Dolphins make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$23.68
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+62.8%+$31.4
Showing 25 of 286 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST5862.1%36 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$283.33
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+92.5%+$647.51
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.82
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+52.6%+$26.29
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+54.8%+$27.38
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+54.2%+$27.1
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Kenny's Young Stars vs. Chuck's Global Starsbacked Chuck's Global Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2025, EST2860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Canadiens vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Devils vs. Ducksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Canadiens vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+39%+$19.49
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+43%+$21.5
Utah vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Bruins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+56.1%+$28.03
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Islanders vs. Blackhawksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+173.1%+$86.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)backed Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+49.9%+$24.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.