NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64c5032f8d70d7d1fbc54e7c4ad38f5a06e70f107b1d0b57a1f310e24699eea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Sabres, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Sabres | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Sabres | 50c | 1,316$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.38 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…d683backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.25 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sabres | 3c | 916.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Sabres | 39c | 856.44$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.88 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Sabres | 34c | 771.89$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.44 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 690$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Sabres | 14c | 510$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sabres | 35c | 467.6$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 413.81$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.41 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Maple Leafs | 72c | 413.8$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 319.75$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Sabres | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…6623backed Sabres | 35c | 269.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b8…79eabacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 269.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres | 14c | 267.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 236.36$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…21f8backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 215.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Sabres | 52c | 215.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Maple Leafs | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Sabres | 13c | 175$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4869…ecbfbacked Sabres | 10c | 165$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sabres | 36c | 158.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 153.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Sabres | 17c | 113.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 106.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 100.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Sabres | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…a87fbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Sabres | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 91.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 84.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Sabres | 72c | 68.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…f37fbacked Sabres | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9c…00edbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 61.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed Sabres | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…cd96backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 58.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…0cd4backed Sabres | 37c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…9aaebacked Sabres | 35c | 55.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…750bbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bf…cf2bbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6b46backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 49.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…45a3backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 44.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02a…b26bbacked Sabres | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…818ebacked Sabres | 36c | 42.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…8013backed Sabres | 35c | 40.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…6049backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 39.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…91adbacked Sabres | 37c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdd…3c05backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 37.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02e…20e1backed Sabres | 35c | 36.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…91b2backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0a…9066backed Sabres | 35c | 35.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f01…8ebabacked Sabres | 35c | 34.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…9aadbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 34.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb987…75b7backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 34.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3053…76f6backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 33.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d19dbacked Sabres | 36c | 33.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…978abacked Sabres | 37c | 33.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…687ebacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 33.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…4eebbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 32.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 32.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc47…b5f7backed Sabres | 36c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…0a45backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 32.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac52…1128backed Sabres | 35c | 32.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad7…7378backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 31.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…3702backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 31.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…af69backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…3628backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 30.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 30.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…2fffbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…77d2backed Sabres | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34f…5c1bbacked Sabres | 36c | 29.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532a…77a6backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 29.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…8d31backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 29.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…890cbacked Sabres | 35c | 29.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…5223backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 29.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…187fbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 28.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…fbc5backed Sabres | 35c | 28.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…54eabacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 28.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a99…8d1bbacked Sabres | 35c | 28.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…671ebacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 28.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…b313backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 27.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…c751backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 27.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Sabres | 67c | 25.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…01e6backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 25.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb573…093ebacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 25.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…7ee8backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 24.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.