TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1268…94e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST7350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+212.5%+$38.89
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.23
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+166.8%+$75.31
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+382.7%+$76.42
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bucks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$33.76
Wizards vs. Grizzliesbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$29.19
Suns vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.69
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+140.7%+$154.29
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$65.99
Pacers vs. Pelicansbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$38.68
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$17.35
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.5
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$23.03
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$93.83
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$41.23
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$12.29
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.7
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$232.27
Over 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$29.86
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.16
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.61
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+148.3%+$303.38
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT5440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.7
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.23
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$7.38
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+97.1%+$26.75
Stars vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$9.09
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+96.5%+$25.96
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.89
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.34
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.17
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.37
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.94
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.9
Sabres vs. Capitalsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10.48
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$11.51
Bruins vs. Sharksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
Bruins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.67
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$10.05
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.35
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.05
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.58
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$8.24
Flames vs. Starsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.31
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.09
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2025, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.62
Tigers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.32
Giants vs. Blue Jaysbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.24
Astros vs. Marinersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
White Sox vs. Piratesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+47%+$9.75
White Sox vs. Rockiesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.55
Astros vs. Dodgersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$19.5
Guardians vs. Giantsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$17.11
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$15.88
Rockies vs. Bravesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$47.99
Tigers vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23.87
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+87.2%+$52.46
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$19.82
Phillies vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.26
Astros vs. Raysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.33
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$25.58
Brewers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$48.08
Red Sox vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.22
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$31.31
Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.75
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
James Madison vs. Oregonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14
East Carolina vs. Tulanebacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Florida State vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Tulsa vs. New Mexico Statebacked New Mexico State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+82.6%+$20.13
UCLA vs. UNLVbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.2
Boston College vs. Michigan Statebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.26
Arizona State vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.81
James Madison vs. Louisvillebacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.42
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$32.93
Tulane vs. Floridabacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$53.06
Georgia vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$13.67
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.30per pick38cpaid-81.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Hurricanes vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.17
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.27
Kentucky vs. Tennesseebacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.63
UConn vs. Floridabacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.34
McNeese State vs. Purduebacked McNeese State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.68
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.29
Akron vs. Arizonabacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.65
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+119.6%+$13.14
Wofford vs. Tennesseebacked Wofford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$222.74
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$15.18
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$76
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$18.25
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50.81
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+334.1%+$66.82
Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.95
Panthers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.64
Steelers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.22
Bengals vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$14.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.12
Will Brighton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$5.55
Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$521.01
Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.7
Will West Ham vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.51
Will Arsenal vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$48.42
Will Leicester vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+37%+$20.34
Will Aston Villa vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$48.58
Will Bournemouth vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.86
Will Leicester vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$8.6
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$95.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.13
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+57.9%+$29.63
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31.75
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+78%+$25.49
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+194.1%+$37.37
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.25
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$28.81
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+150%+$32.7
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will Rangers win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$11.88
Will Ajax win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.88
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+202.8%+$37.07
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.92
Will Rangers win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$14.91
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.17
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs. Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Wings vs Valkyriesbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.15
Mercury vs Acesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$19.56
Dream vs Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.43
Sky vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.09
Lynx vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$45.31
Lynx vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.83
All 7 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+81.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$5.91
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+129.9%+$25.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25.2%+$4.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.13 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$8.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$39.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.