TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kentucky vs. Tennessee

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tennesseeof Kentucky, Tennessee
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$369,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$386,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Kentucky34c78,000$26,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,819.993455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Kentucky35c57,630$20,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,349.358644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Tennessee65c43,149$28,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,125.2210335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd68e…f46bbacked Kentucky1c40,470$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-39.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Tennessee66c25,880$17,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.155543.6%24 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Tennessee64c25,465$16,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,063.322770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Tennessee66c17,609$11,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,987540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Kentucky35c17,577$6,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,108.837912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Tennessee65c13,597$8,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7591250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Tennessee65c10,901$7,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,795.625527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Tennessee64c10,425$6,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,75313649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Tennessee64c9,357$5,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,390.924542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kentucky2c8,149$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.623993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Kentucky35c8,008$2,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,791.172924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tennessee65c6,300$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.6653057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kentucky35c6,100$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.8610511.4%12 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Tennessee66c5,888$3,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.975349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Kentucky36c5,575$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00041554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Tennessee65c5,400$3,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9101450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Tennessee65c4,263$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.191838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Kentucky14c4,189$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.784242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+151.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Kentucky17c3,600$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.862759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Tennessee65c3,598$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.467237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tennessee65c3,540$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.076440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…f6d4backed Kentucky34c3,220$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…479fbacked Tennessee65c3,170$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tennessee66c3,150$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07190645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tennessee65c3,123$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.449641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kentucky35c2,861$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004520%9 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Kentucky5c2,770$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1210236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Tennessee68c2,610$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Tennessee65c2,608$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.6616842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Kentucky36c2,408$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.884831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Tennessee73c2,334$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.2555657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b8e…66bfbacked Kentucky23c2,320$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.18944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Kentucky35c2,164$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Tennessee66c2,022$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.389833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tennessee77c2,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.93,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kentucky8c1,900$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9710041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Kentucky24c1,817$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed Kentucky35c1,650$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.992330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kentucky1c1,632$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,608.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Kentucky36c1,534$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.231546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kentucky2c1,500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Kentucky37c1,492$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.0116445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Tennessee65c1,412$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.221957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Tennessee64c1,291$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.7813936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Tennessee65c1,227$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.582676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Kentucky4c1,210$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.581811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+97.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Kentucky35c1,100$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3856934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Kentucky7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Kentucky35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504450%22 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Tennessee64c850$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba0c…a550backed Kentucky30c840$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Kentucky8c838$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.042222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…ab99backed Kentucky26c829.35$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Kentucky25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Tennessee65c799.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8053…2a8ebacked Tennessee65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.234226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Kentucky8c764.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.993016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed Tennessee63c648.71$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.023351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Tennessee65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.382161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Kentucky23c600$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.63669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Kentucky6c571.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.134632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Tennessee63c540.59$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.028151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82ee…d8e2backed Kentucky37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Kentucky34c500$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x343c…741dbacked Tennessee65c499.99$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1753100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e2c…ba05backed Kentucky35c497$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Kentucky11c474.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.372020%4 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+74.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Tennessee66c459.79$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.33933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Kentucky31c446.41$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Tennessee74c402.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9210558.1%61 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bea…1c4bbacked Kentucky35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ea…d560backed Tennessee65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…480fbacked Kentucky36c336.11$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tennessee76c300$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.860551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f7…e1d3backed Kentucky34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Tennessee65c298.69$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5448462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kentucky36c295.05$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.531,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kentucky36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0d…b8f7backed Tennessee64c277.09$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb978…a2a0backed Kentucky36c274.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Kentucky37c270.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed Kentucky12c261.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.82729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d0…73cdbacked Tennessee65c259.38$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.78580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62b2…85d5backed Kentucky34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Kentucky35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Tennessee65c225.9$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3742948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Tennessee65c200.04$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.017936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Tennessee63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744770.2%33 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cfb…56dfbacked Tennessee65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Kentucky36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7245953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x394c…7654backed Kentucky35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Kentucky37c161.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.65337.7%20 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Tennessee65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Kentucky34c149.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Kentucky16c149.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82c1…0217backed Kentucky35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Kentucky35c141.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503923.1%9 W · 30 L-8.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-65.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.