TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x82c1…0217

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$55.48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+68.6%+$68.57
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Manchester United vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+150%+$75
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$63.75
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brentford vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+596.3%+$1,085.35
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.88
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$204.23
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Kylian Mbappé be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Porto win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Porto beat Inter Miami?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will RB Salzburg beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+68.9%+$34.47
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+224.5%+$291.82
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will McLaren have the second-highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+151%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+354.5%+$177.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.