TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,898

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d2…81e0backed Yes59c121,921$71,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,804.762646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed No41c87,513$35,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,682.942040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No41c25,042$10,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,724.1630851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes60c17,738$10,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,6431315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-61.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No42c11,277$4,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,541.279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No40c10,505$4,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,26335652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed No41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9001540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No42c3,239$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No42c3,067$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.6721445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes11c2,430$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7120744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No43c2,419$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.8213829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No42c2,400$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39632037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c0…823bbacked Yes57c2,161$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No41c2,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1904736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No43c1,965$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.0790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No44c1,585$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.622050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes56c1,200$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6728842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes9c1,122$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9516851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes56c1,067$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.884843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No43c1,036$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.5713857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No73c1,020$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.3138645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-65.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No44c925.1$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.7918752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0190…4778backed No44c911.45$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes58c887.93$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5156939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes57c789.47$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f55…0f1bbacked No45c666.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes56c613.99$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8444939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…b756backed Yes57c603.69$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.513857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes53c569.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes57c566.16$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.713941%16 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes57c530.83$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes59c508$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.722755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28521153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19bb…a23dbacked Yes4c468$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.721330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb2…b219backed Yes57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22810445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21217958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22819735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No42c399.99$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23140953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked No43c389.47$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2222850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80fe…290cbacked Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007740.3%31 W · 46 L-11.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes57c341.38$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d8…b86abacked No44c331.82$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No43c276$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…45e8backed No44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes22c247.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4736954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes20c247.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5210333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Yes57c214.51$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Yes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed Yes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yes57c190.77$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.045418.5%10 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98cc…7470backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dae…9574backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b48…51d0backed No44c175$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes59c172.84$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82c1…0217backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb724…fff6backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4645…7cddbacked No45c169.1$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+66.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No43c158$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0615949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.53450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.527752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.521463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1470…83bdbacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes56c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.72740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Yes58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes18c134.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.172657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes34c131.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4532737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9268…6d02backed No43c117$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aad…2cbbbacked No45c116.58$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No44c114$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8426247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c0…6576backed No44c113.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes57c110.53$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked No46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201947.4%9 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.23per pick25cpaid+94.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb393…f733backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ef0…657ebacked No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+95%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c20…2256backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601250%6 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc64d…f868backed Yes57c99.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bc0…7afebacked No45c93.49$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.42650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb955…175ebacked Yes56c93.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef79…251ebacked No45c92.76$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Yes21c90.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.091625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21fb…f6c2backed Yes57c90.42$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.54520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.225637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a0…f94ebacked Yes57c89.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f82…8e5dbacked No45c89.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc2f…3cd3backed No44c88.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x309f…54e5backed Yes57c85.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…6864backed Yes57c84.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.