Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8b8ffbe9572ca0cc515b1d8606e082c5b99dd1c9c7e9e599b535b0b1e1bb96c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Yes | 59c | 121,921$71,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,804.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed No | 41c | 87,513$35,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,682.94 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 41c | 25,042$10,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,724.16 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes | 60c | 17,738$10,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,643 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 42c | 11,277$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,541.2 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 40c | 10,505$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,263 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed No | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 42c | 3,239$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 42c | 3,067$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.67 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 11c | 2,430$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.71 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 43c | 2,419$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.82 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 42c | 2,400$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c0…823bbacked Yes | 57c | 2,161$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 41c | 2,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 43c | 1,965$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.07 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 44c | 1,585$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.6 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,122$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 56c | 1,067$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.88 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 43c | 1,036$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.57 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 73c | 1,020$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.31 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 44c | 925.1$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.79 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…4778backed No | 44c | 911.45$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 58c | 887.93$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 57c | 789.47$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…0f1bbacked No | 45c | 666.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 56c | 613.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.84 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 57c | 603.69$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.51 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 53c | 569.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes | 57c | 566.16$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.71 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 57c | 530.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 59c | 508$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.72 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…a23dbacked Yes | 4c | 468$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…b219backed Yes | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 42c | 399.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked No | 43c | 389.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…290cbacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -11.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 57c | 341.38$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.62 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…b86abacked No | 44c | 331.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 43c | 276$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…45e8backed No | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 22c | 247.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 20c | 247.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 57c | 214.51$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 57c | 190.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dae…9574backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 44c | 175$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 59c | 172.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…0217backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…fff6backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4645…7cddbacked No | 45c | 169.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 43c | 158$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…83bdbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes | 18c | 134.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 34c | 131.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9268…6d02backed No | 43c | 117$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…2cbbbacked No | 45c | 116.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 44c | 114$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…6576backed No | 44c | 113.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 57c | 110.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 25cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb393…f733backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…657ebacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…f868backed Yes | 57c | 99.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…7afebacked No | 45c | 93.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb955…175ebacked Yes | 56c | 93.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef79…251ebacked No | 45c | 92.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Yes | 21c | 90.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…f6c2backed Yes | 57c | 90.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…f94ebacked Yes | 57c | 89.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f82…8e5dbacked No | 45c | 89.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…3cd3backed No | 44c | 88.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…54e5backed Yes | 57c | 85.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…6864backed Yes | 57c | 84.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.