TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,190

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x97e1…017bbacked No2c35,118$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.816851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No46c9,660$4,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,442.6120744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No43c8,014$3,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,438.9538645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes22c5,136$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.1568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes22c2,365$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.718929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6009148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes75c1,528$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes21c1,507$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.396741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes20c1,431$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.3590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed No80c1,312$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.486152.5%32 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664b…a286backed Yes20c1,254$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.388439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes29c1,108$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7877835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c7…aaaebacked Yes29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.48520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fc…1f6abacked No80c1,010$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes22c925.77$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.19961.6%61 W · 38 L+13.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes56c846.41$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.421540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked No79c759$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.617963.3%50 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No47c756.6$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.628355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3fe…e789backed Yes39c652.51$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes21c642.86$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.866939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes20c611.8$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.7621445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No48c590.39$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3830851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No46c521.5$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1218752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No11c506.28$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.695413%7 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes31c503.23$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.236741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes21c484.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.922227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.196225.8%16 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No79c471.17$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.2235652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32011227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes3c375.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2419743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes24c361$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.3617958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed No56c339.99$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa733…cd61backed Yes21c336$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1c…a1f8backed No79c336$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c51…133abacked Yes31c328.83$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e2e…5865backed Yes51c321.65$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No79c317$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.433762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29db…ae12backed Yes20c311$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14110333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28da…b97dbacked Yes44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.71723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Yes55c292$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.485632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked No79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed No79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked No79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes22c247.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.053351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f31…cd6fbacked Yes23c235.16$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.161010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e4e…7dc7backed Yes58c229.5$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d07…35e6backed No78c224.36$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick74cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes22c182.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8411527%31 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes22c181.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.823923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb2…0a21backed Yes32c180.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No80c148$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No76c128.64$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3652060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes21c128.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.616346%29 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed No78c111.87$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.262040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked No79c110$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.94456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799738.1%37 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33b3…9f56backed Yes25c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05dd…fb87backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec40…f0abbacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32fb…49c7backed Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.91540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9113552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa4…c7c8backed Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.915349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No22c90.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fdd…1969backed Yes20c90$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2925637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Yes23c88.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.71947.4%9 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.23per pick25cpaid+94.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes48c84.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1410154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x28d0…f0b2backed Yes26c73.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7189…75ecbacked Yes21c71.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2135…71cdbacked Yes22c68.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.18944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e7…67e6backed Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No35c53.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.755158.8%30 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes65c53.57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No34c53.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.212975.9%22 W · 7 L+7.7wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+97.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No78c53.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6221353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fb…7fbfbacked Yes22c52.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+137.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f7c…3b96backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+52.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No77c49.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3921463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Yes77c49.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.35248.3%2 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-83.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes31c38.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6525339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fed…3b22backed No80c37.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No78c37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0381559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No80c36.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8212357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked No77c34.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.782850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeec0…a1edbacked No80c32.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2134…0734backed No78c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.42147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed No80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246266.1%41 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb7b…ee5bbacked Yes56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6365557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6358…71c2backed No79c18.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x112c…5f9bbacked No80c17.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No78c14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9236845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.