Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40b8dc53d857906c5a389d06def49f3c231ac5c372255d350cc99e45d27f4729
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 2c | 35,118$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.8 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 46c | 9,660$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.61 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 43c | 8,014$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.95 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 5,136$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,012.15 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,365$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.7 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,528$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 21c | 1,507$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.39 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 20c | 1,431$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.35 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed No | 80c | 1,312$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.48 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 20c | 1,254$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.38 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 29c | 1,108$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…aaaebacked Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fc…1f6abacked No | 80c | 1,010$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 22c | 925.77$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.1 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +13.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 56c | 846.41$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 79c | 759$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.61 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 47c | 756.6$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.6 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…e789backed Yes | 39c | 652.51$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 21c | 642.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.86 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 20c | 611.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.76 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 48c | 590.39$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.38 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 46c | 521.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.12 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 11c | 506.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 31c | 503.23$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.23 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 21c | 484.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.92 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 79c | 471.17$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.22 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 3c | 375.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.24 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 24c | 361$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.36 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 56c | 339.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…cd61backed Yes | 21c | 336$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1c…a1f8backed No | 79c | 336$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c51…133abacked Yes | 31c | 328.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…5865backed Yes | 51c | 321.65$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 79c | 317$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ae12backed Yes | 20c | 311$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Yes | 55c | 292$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 22c | 247.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.05 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…cd6fbacked Yes | 23c | 235.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…7dc7backed Yes | 58c | 229.5$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…35e6backed No | 78c | 224.36$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 22c | 182.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.84 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb2…0a21backed Yes | 32c | 180.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 80c | 148$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 76c | 128.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 21c | 128.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed No | 78c | 111.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 79c | 110$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Yes | 25c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…fb87backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…f0abbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…49c7backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…c7c8backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 22c | 90.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdd…1969backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 23c | 88.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 25cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 48c | 84.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28d0…f0b2backed Yes | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…75ecbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…71cdbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…67e6backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 35c | 53.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 65c | 53.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 34c | 53.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 78c | 53.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…7fbfbacked Yes | 22c | 52.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…3b96backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 77c | 49.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 77c | 49.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 31c | 38.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…3b22backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 78c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 80c | 36.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked No | 77c | 34.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…a1edbacked No | 80c | 32.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…0734backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7b…ee5bbacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…71c2backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x112c…5f9bbacked No | 80c | 17.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-25?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?No won
- Will Manchester United vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.