TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a67…af26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
333
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT6266.1%41 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.5
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$12.22
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.11
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.5
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+39%+$38.33
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT4456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$76.36
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$101.59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$31.14
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.97
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$53.34
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$151.14
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+120.1%+$120.94
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$82
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+101.7%+$20.34
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.6%+$38.7
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+62.1%+$90.67
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+50.5%+$10.11
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT4266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.99
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$29.6
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+30%+$6.01
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$212.37
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$15.76
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.11
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+31.6%+$5.05
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Will Pacers vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+38.6%+$22.03
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+59.9%+$12.59
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
NBA Playoffs 1st Round: Less than 3 upsets?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST4052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+187.2%+$37.45
Will Puka Nacua win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Myles Garrett win the 2025-26 NFL DPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+354.5%+$39
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.5%+$46.73
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+85.4%+$24.76
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will the Cleveland Browns finish with the worst record in the NFL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the New Orleans Saints finish with the worst record in the NFL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4.57
Saints vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.71
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.1
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win 10 or more regular season games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+25%+$6
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$31.43
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$35.5
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.97
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$8.24
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
PSG vs. Bayern Munich: 4+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Bayern Munich win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$6.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.78
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$19.14
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$29.52
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$42.51
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$43.97
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$5.44
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Betis Beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$7.09
Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$13.62
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$7.34
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
England vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$31.86
Brazil vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.26
Will Norway win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$9.64
Will France win the UEFA Nations League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.62
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.2
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+70%+$34.98
Bitcoin all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+41%+$16.39
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Bitcoin all time high before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$15.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+94.2%+$29.19
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$18.46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$69.85
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.87
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$7.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.45
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+230.2%+$46.05
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+26.8%+$7.73
All 14 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$42.83
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$34.55
Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Meta reach $730 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$49.28
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$9.11
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Apple dip to $232 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Meta reach $680 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$60
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+62.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$13.15
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.6%+$15.56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+62%+$52.74
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+64.4%+$36.73
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+399.3%+$79.87
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$8.78
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+73%+$24.81
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$9.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+119.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+339.4%+$400.49
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$15.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.