TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under41c36,379$14,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,972.916048.3%29 W · 31 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8191…da72backed Under46c29,037$13,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,461.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c24,539$13,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,848.571,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under64c21,042$13,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,490.1191537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over58c18,267$10,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,672.1137649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under2c10,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c7,782$3,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,444.11,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c7,598$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,173.821,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Over58c4,762$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under2c2,770$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.411020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-63.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over26c2,732$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.4446741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under65c2,678$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.61844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over46c2,420$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.3472335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over61c2,058$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.851566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+120.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over55c1,845$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.8644647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under39c1,813$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.844033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under71c1,691$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over17c1,540$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.5132843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under73c1,371$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under45c1,300$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.054445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over15c1,007$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.2436142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7804027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Under77c945.37$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over58c850$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3572250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under38c685.99$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3824545.3%111 W · 134 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under40c640.45$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.192369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over19c619.83$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.2818736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over19c414.8$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.992733.3%9 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under73c409.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over39c335.77$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.821770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+97%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over28c321.43$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.434431.8%14 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Over59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1235100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked Under70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under38c249.19$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1216743.7%73 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over59c246.6$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.117564%48 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over33c233.46$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.517443.7%76 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under7c227.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9360136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2afc…317abacked Over37c213.79$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+134.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a7b…90dfbacked Under78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over35c196.16$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.596347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over16c192.94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0715954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c176.17$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7642438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over58c172.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.592075%15 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over33c156$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.345475.9%41 W · 13 L+10.4wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+34%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over59c146.14$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6c4…1b3cbacked Under40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over54c120.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3712556%70 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.37561.3%46 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Over22c113.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.422665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+100.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Over16c112.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.133100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+462.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over40c109$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Over16c107.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.731464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.30per pick34cpaid+208.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over35c105.96$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0113567.4%91 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+24.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under73c96.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.672152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over22c95.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid+41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under74c95$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.492123.8%5 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.29per pick53cpaid-60.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc135…d871backed Over58c87.93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over55c79.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9915448.7%75 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over26c79.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.931546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over44c79.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.111573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Under77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Under78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bcd…c00fbacked Under78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Over32c51.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7eb…da58backed Under70c48.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Under79c48.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.39955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Over37c46.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.171827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7740%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Over37c35.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.292250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over37c35.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.142147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+48.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.485100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under76c31.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under66c31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5324252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…7112backed Under73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a40…007abacked Under78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under65c19.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.981353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Under77c19.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Under74c16.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b16…66d3backed Under74c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.