TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under25c37,470$9,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,413.316248.4%30 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under18c3,383$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60960%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under31c3,152$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.1196837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c2,992$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.3449840.4%201 W · 297 L-1.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed Over55c2,761$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over56c2,750$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21014732.7%48 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under34c2,720$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.081758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under17c1,681$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.842060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+58.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over55c1,291$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Under46c1,206$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.712846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under23c1,173$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.062,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under2c1,101$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.964845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over73c1,100$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29744933.6%151 W · 298 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over55c1,058$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47745452%236 W · 218 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Over55c1,035$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45032847.9%157 W · 171 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45034445.1%155 W · 189 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over56c915$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.615741.4%65 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over55c914.24$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.4115648.1%75 W · 81 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under23c912.32$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.454746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under16c867.93$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3847246.8%221 W · 251 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under45c714.25$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.412568%17 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over75c617.59$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4534943.3%151 W · 198 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under17c513.88$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4526931.6%85 W · 184 L-22.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c495.59$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0666446.2%307 W · 357 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over56c482.18$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.7428833.3%96 W · 192 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under71c424.43$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Under45c406.67$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+202.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over55c361.81$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+132%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over56c316.05$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0629746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under32c310.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over59c302$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.549348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x026d…47edbacked Under45c299.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under20c258.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.782119%4 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-58.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over53c240.2$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.894856.3%27 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over75c235.28$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0618643.5%81 W · 105 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Under45c210.56$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.751931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c4…1b3cbacked Under15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c196.94$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4391032.6%297 W · 613 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cba…52f8backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.579050%45 W · 45 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709839.8%39 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc135…d871backed Over56c150.95$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under8c146.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.361346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under36c145.07$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.057342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Under47c126$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+55.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under17c120.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1643537.9%165 W · 270 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over55c114$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.367649.4%334 W · 342 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over62c112.1$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0915954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Under22c110.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.262817.9%5 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+156.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over79c110$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.18360.2%50 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458554.1%46 W · 39 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45a3…78b4backed Under27c95.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfec…774abacked Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685e…fec3backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb18…6f32backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under25c89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.826170.5%43 W · 18 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x125c…cb68backed Over67c82.09$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Over56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.361968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+45.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362250%11 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over77c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.29071.1%64 W · 26 L+12.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over73c63.82$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.187846.2%36 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x502c…728fbacked Over80c62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick76cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under33c55.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4616148.4%78 W · 83 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over55c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.312138.8%47 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238060%48 W · 32 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8731656.6%179 W · 137 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Over55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.254367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Over53c40.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.974757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over55c38.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5239442.9%169 W · 225 L-23.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Over55c37.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911668.8%11 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.35per pick34cpaid+204.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.715100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d9e…b958backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Under29c34.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over59c31.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0312442.7%53 W · 71 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3552…0d65backed Over74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f1…478bbacked Under45c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.570%0 W · 7 L-3.8wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2348…9974backed Over64c28.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over66c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.55580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+56%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under46c23.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114531.1%14 W · 31 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Over54c22.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.025100%5 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+348.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.839849.2%196 W · 202 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Over55c19.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.783183.9%26 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over69c18.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.686267.7%42 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Over74c16.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.222867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44a8…64afbacked Over69c14.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab96…8d69backed Over72c14.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa806…d49dbacked Over72c14.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…188abacked Over79c13.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.