Champions League · resolved market
Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8969cb9bbd2e65c8621f8d4ae390bd80b721fe056e9cc85f1e1a4ad1b71ad3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 79c | 8,864$7,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.51 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 80c | 6,164$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.81 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 8c | 5,931$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.66 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 4,129$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.81 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 21c | 2,037$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.68 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 21c | 2,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 2,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 8c | 1,725$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 15c | 1,491$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.85 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 16c | 1,399$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.56 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 21c | 1,145$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.49 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 21c | 1,007$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.52 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 21c | 1,006$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.25 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 79c | 885$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.85 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 9c | 587.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e54…0466backed Over | 80c | 545.99$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 21c | 255.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…1b3cbacked Under | 9c | 222.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 7c | 220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 11c | 211$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…481bbacked Over | 79c | 164.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Under | 9c | 151.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869a…5a78backed Over | 79c | 150.33$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…b737backed Under | 22c | 94.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 14c | 89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…2b3abacked Over | 79c | 37.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 79c | 34.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 1.5this page
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva O/U 1.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Sabah FK 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Sabah FK O/U 1.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to AdvanceSabah FK won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-2.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.