TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75e9…2b3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Cricket, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT3740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$164.88
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$16.77
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.69
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$27.55
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,994.98
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.93
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.68
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.94
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+400%+$1,579.98
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,482.93
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.6
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.09
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.13
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,834Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$1,656.97
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$59.8
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$498.93
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Caribbean Premier League: St. Lucia Kings vs Barbados Tridentsbacked Barbados Tridents · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$8.17
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.6
Caribbean Premier League: Jamaica Kingsmen vs Trinbago Knight Ridersbacked Trinbago Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.89
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,722Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,721.51
The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Bravebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.02
The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Bravebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,668.51
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rocketsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$928Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+85%+$789.01
The Hundred: MI London vs London Spiritbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,030.5
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI Londonbacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs MI Londonbacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$113.46
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Bravebacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$1,230.92
The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Bravebacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,422.72
T20 Blast, Women: Hampshire vs Durhambacked Hampshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,368.02
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,565.03
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,982Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$1,908.95
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,973Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$1,422.6
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.17
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,783Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$916.26
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.04
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Irelandbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$504.82
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Scotlandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$322.24
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$89.61
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Irelandbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.31
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Scotlandbacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.55
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+285.5%+$548.96
All 25 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$7.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.