TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Brave

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunrisers Leedsof Sunrisers Leeds, Southern Brave
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,940 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e02…d70abacked Southern Brave33c51,755$16,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,867.3736445.6%166 W · 198 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sunrisers Leeds80c20,090$16,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,076.5750547.5%240 W · 265 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Southern Brave33c20,013$6,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,611.0431543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b7…6008backed Sunrisers Leeds67c13,991$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,591.8133340.2%134 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e88…b235backed Sunrisers Leeds65c9,042$5,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,184.572653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Southern Brave28c7,307$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.2929631.1%92 W · 204 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a8a…718dbacked Southern Brave10c5,501$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Southern Brave36c5,087$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.176524.6%16 W · 49 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0389…847bbacked Sunrisers Leeds64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80015558.1%90 W · 65 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x656e…f46bbacked Southern Brave35c4,109$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.331414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick25cpaid+47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e13…af03backed Sunrisers Leeds30c2,986$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+124.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4eb…d3f0backed Sunrisers Leeds30c2,986$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+231.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd21…40aebacked Sunrisers Leeds30c2,986$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+65.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked Southern Brave37c2,667$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.5232846.3%152 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Sunrisers Leeds80c2,523$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.5115966%105 W · 54 L+16.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Southern Brave41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00049247.2%232 W · 260 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9104…c269backed Southern Brave16c2,413$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.8814070.7%99 W · 41 L+21.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7090…a5ffbacked Southern Brave34c2,364$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.7221439.7%85 W · 129 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Southern Brave40c2,240$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.1245647.6%217 W · 239 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Sunrisers Leeds29c1,960$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.51540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b2…5047backed Southern Brave28c1,418$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40113641.2%56 W · 80 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5d7…488cbacked Sunrisers Leeds30c1,169$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+111.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Sunrisers Leeds76c1,050$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25211841.5%49 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e54…b186backed Sunrisers Leeds28c1,029$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+128.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e12…d0ecbacked Southern Brave3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513418.7%25 W · 109 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+106.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Southern Brave18c929$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2243840.9%179 W · 259 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04a…7cffbacked Southern Brave29c880$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7210947.7%52 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Sunrisers Leeds41c869$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.591643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Sunrisers Leeds42c852$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.261741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Sunrisers Leeds37c820$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.81546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Sunrisers Leeds66c816.15$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.3823033.9%78 W · 152 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Southern Brave25c724.92$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2476351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84b1…51b8backed Sunrisers Leeds38c719$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.59650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3936…6e40backed Sunrisers Leeds28c714.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+242.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Southern Brave37c706$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3528749.5%142 W · 145 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d13…5233backed Southern Brave40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Sunrisers Leeds38c692.92$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.921747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5cb…6303backed Sunrisers Leeds76c660.5$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.522060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Sunrisers Leeds72c642.82$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.815549.1%27 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Southern Brave37c599$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5237848.1%182 W · 196 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aad…1155backed Sunrisers Leeds34c588.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd647…08a5backed Sunrisers Leeds34c588.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+207.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Southern Brave36c555.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.995034%17 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe6b…50e7backed Sunrisers Leeds28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+242.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Southern Brave39c535.56$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Sunrisers Leeds74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Southern Brave35c468.64$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.027445.9%34 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5850…fdd9backed Sunrisers Leeds75c441.07$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.272638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1407…e56cbacked Sunrisers Leeds38c440$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbb…0ac2backed Sunrisers Leeds38c440$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ab…3c32backed Sunrisers Leeds74c439.62$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.269956.6%56 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5abe…d360backed Sunrisers Leeds39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Sunrisers Leeds80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick16cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d30…ce29backed Sunrisers Leeds59c399.99$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16420363.5%129 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9065…3275backed Southern Brave49c399.17$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5912759.1%75 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Sunrisers Leeds77c399.06$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.435646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Sunrisers Leeds75c389.06$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.987149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Sunrisers Leeds69c380$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.313144.3%58 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Sunrisers Leeds39c380$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2331844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Southern Brave32c369.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2414652.7%77 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Southern Brave23c367.88$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4612842.2%54 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Southern Brave37c365.27$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3764143.1%276 W · 365 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Southern Brave35c351.13$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.484940.8%20 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0be…8d08backed Sunrisers Leeds73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8119958.8%117 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Southern Brave29c286$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5127141.3%112 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Southern Brave30c282$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0431050%155 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f5e…fecfbacked Sunrisers Leeds57c275$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.522733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…00a5backed Southern Brave18c270$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.68634.9%30 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e2…5405backed Sunrisers Leeds39c262$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…d9f1backed Southern Brave37c260.49$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.387719.5%15 W · 62 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-31%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcccb…8590backed Sunrisers Leeds79c260.17$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.675558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Southern Brave14c254.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.082245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Sunrisers Leeds78c238.92$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6610770.1%75 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ba4…f918backed Sunrisers Leeds38c210.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.091643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked Sunrisers Leeds38c210.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.091330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Southern Brave29c205$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5931940.1%128 W · 191 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbcc…a2d2backed Sunrisers Leeds62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769464.9%61 W · 33 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Southern Brave23c197.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8227029.6%80 W · 190 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked Sunrisers Leeds57c183$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75e9…2b3abacked Southern Brave25c174.6$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.022544%11 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Sunrisers Leeds60c170$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.29252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Southern Brave40c161.48$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.591250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sunrisers Leeds78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.279340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Sunrisers Leeds66c149.61$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.874250%21 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe28…3c60backed Southern Brave39c138.78$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1219843.4%86 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Southern Brave27c129.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1811748.7%57 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadc6…d5e0backed Southern Brave26c127.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Southern Brave40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9a6…cbdabacked Sunrisers Leeds61c124.65$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.256960.9%42 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf587…cc7bbacked Sunrisers Leeds73c119.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.354780.9%38 W · 9 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+19.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Southern Brave37c116.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.214953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked Southern Brave35c113.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3714…5e66backed Southern Brave42c112.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e5…d1f0backed Southern Brave34c105.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2512737.8%48 W · 79 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba94…c78bbacked Sunrisers Leeds69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316564.6%42 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed Southern Brave39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-52.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Southern Brave42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Southern Brave42c99.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7438844.6%173 W · 215 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0787…43d5backed Southern Brave38c94.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.115648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked Southern Brave35c93.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.