TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Egypt vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,708 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes64c8,542$5,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,115.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes33c6,095$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,095.0323353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes52c5,900$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8325042%21 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c5,204$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.833,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9356…e52bbacked Yes53c3,754$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.544445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No32c3,449$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.754,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No49c3,025$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.2570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No48c2,954$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.62,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No49c2,614$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.8629740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes52c2,245$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.481,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed No2c2,204$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0827931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes64c1,974$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.5263544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes58c1,832$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.3153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No48c1,600$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76837850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No43c1,493$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.932,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes51c1,446$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.492,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No48c1,400$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Yes54c974.07$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.0732739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No49c896.17$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.1236250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes65c734.85$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.462,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f40…4383backed Yes76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.894240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed No37c646.7$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2810743%46 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e9…2b3abacked No79c632.74$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.933740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No48c608.96$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.134,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28839050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28838451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…421bbacked Yes53c556.6$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.68432.1%27 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No48c552.37$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.142,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No47c531$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.572,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No49c509.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5222226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes51c500.93$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.61,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62bd…52b6backed Yes59c440.68$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.685358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No48c432.43$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9235451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes66c418.36$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.287938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed No49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005655.4%31 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19235352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19235251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18439951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19237051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No48c394.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.53,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked No48c326.08$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.122147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed No49c318.27$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9521044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No48c316.7$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0240848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4672424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes70c279.7$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9192732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No35c279.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.021,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No47c262$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.443,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No48c260.15$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.011,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes52c246.5$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3216641%68 W · 98 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No48c225.77$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.372,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes65c213.6$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9562633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked No48c209.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7915149.7%75 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No47c201.89$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8969534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9814946.3%69 W · 80 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe123…f640backed Yes37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.266152.5%32 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9634351.9%178 W · 165 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3134537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54f9…5c3dbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.318259.8%49 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd883…714ebacked Yes52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.167038.6%27 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6843246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2854…927cbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.688161.7%50 W · 31 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x640b…d920backed No18c186.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4519027.9%53 W · 137 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca3…78d8backed Yes23c173.87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.883435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No60c171.07$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3764850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No48c168.47$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.373,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dad…475dbacked No49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.46043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2576…d613backed No49c159.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.88251.2%42 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes52c152.83$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.011,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Yes52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7220149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb96…ea06backed No49c140.59$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.897844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes52c137.58$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.471,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked No49c134.69$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6633245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb8…46d2backed Yes52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6215038%57 W · 93 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69aa…015abacked Yes23c130.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.433745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x671d…c1c6backed No28c130.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373923.1%9 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x216d…a4e1backed No49c130$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No48c120$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.261,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No48c109.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.061,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe382…f187backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab1…ca7abacked Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4810037%37 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4857252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7076…6adcbacked Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5efe…0cf0backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484772.3%34 W · 13 L+9.5wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+53.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1f9f…e21cbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1510654.7%58 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1515345.8%70 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Yes25c90$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.530040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed No50c85.18$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5910636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes58c84.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.489150.5%46 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9242853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed No48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2423343.3%101 W · 132 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.645949.5%227 W · 232 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.825137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed No50c58.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2922247.7%106 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa734…65dbbacked No48c58.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No42c58.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.312,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes61c56.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9435034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Yes59c55.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7136350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed No30c55.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7551228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.