Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58fb78f6473b2767ddcb58d6bb05918344399f240555ddfdba58261b4d719c05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 8,542$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 33c | 6,095$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,095.03 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 52c | 5,900$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 5,204$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 53c | 3,754$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.54 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 3,449$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.75 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 49c | 3,025$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.25 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 48c | 2,954$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.6 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 49c | 2,614$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.86 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 52c | 2,245$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.48 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 2c | 2,204$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 64c | 1,974$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.52 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 58c | 1,832$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.31 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 1,493$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.93 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 51c | 1,446$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.49 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 54c | 974.07$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.07 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 49c | 896.17$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.12 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 65c | 734.85$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.46 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…4383backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed No | 37c | 646.7$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.28 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…2b3abacked No | 79c | 632.74$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.93 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 48c | 608.96$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.13 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 53c | 556.6$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.6 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 48c | 552.37$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.14 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 531$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 49c | 509.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.52 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 51c | 500.93$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…52b6backed Yes | 59c | 440.68$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 48c | 432.43$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.92 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 66c | 418.36$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.2 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 394.43$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked No | 48c | 326.08$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed No | 49c | 318.27$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.95 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 48c | 316.7$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.02 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 70c | 279.7$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 35c | 279.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 262$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 260.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 52c | 246.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.32 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 225.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 65c | 213.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 48c | 209.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 47c | 201.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…f640backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 343 | 51.9%178 W · 165 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…5c3dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed No | 18c | 186.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…78d8backed Yes | 23c | 173.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 60c | 171.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 48c | 168.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…475dbacked No | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…d613backed No | 49c | 159.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 52c | 152.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…ea06backed No | 49c | 140.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 52c | 137.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked No | 49c | 134.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…46d2backed Yes | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…015abacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…c1c6backed No | 28c | 130.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216d…a4e1backed No | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 48c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 48c | 109.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe382…f187backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…ca7abacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…6adcbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…0cf0backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +9.5wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e21cbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed No | 50c | 85.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed No | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 233 | 43.3%101 W · 132 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed No | 50c | 58.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…65dbbacked No | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 42c | 58.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 61c | 56.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 59c | 55.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed No | 30c | 55.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime?this page
- Egypt leading at halftime?No won
- IR Iran leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.