TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfcb8…067c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Asian League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT15149.7%75 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.1
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$127.58
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.8
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.73
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$73.56
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.34
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.63
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.82
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.46
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.3
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$402
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$246
Colombia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$180
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.45
United States leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$180
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$174
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$330
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$192
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$100.8
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT2661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$139.86
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$121.11
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.23
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)backed Ferencvárosi TC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$78.54
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)backed Ferencvárosi TC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$115.29
Will FC Milsami Orhei win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$68.04
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-1.5)backed Glentoran FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.51
Will SK Torpedo Kutaisi win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$47.25
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.57
Spread: KF Shkëndija 79 (-1.5)backed KF Shkëndija 79 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$102.7
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.99
Glentoran FC vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$266.84
Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)backed Derry City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$90.06
Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.4
Will FCI Levadia win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.84
Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$72.67
US Mondorf-les-Bains vs. SK Dinamo Tbilisi: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$82.16
Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$109.02
FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.09
Spread: FK Dynama-Minsk (-1.5)backed FK Sileks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$63.9
Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+161.3%+$370.42
Will FC Hegelmann win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$71.1
Will Linfield FC win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$48.98
Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.16
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Larne FC (-1.5)backed Tre Fiori FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$119.07
Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$62.37
Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)backed Sabah FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.81
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$117.18
Will FC Petrocub Hînceşti win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$244.42
FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.68
Will FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$174
Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+51%+$202.74
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.75
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6
KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$54.86
Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)backed Seattle Sounders FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.38
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$102.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.