Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8177bb6a5f5687c23ba856dce0edbcb37d4b52c0348ced94fe339fd14e94f51b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 55c | 26,642$14,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,874.29 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 4,834$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.21 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 43c | 2,285$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.48 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 45c | 2,115$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.65 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 42c | 1,444$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.55 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 38c | 1,157$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.73 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 44c | 1,104$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.76 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 44c | 1,050$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 44c | 899.99$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 18c | 850.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 752.29$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 44c | 669.11$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.41 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 75c | 657.98$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.44 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 532.4$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.75 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 44c | 456$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 44c | 294$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 44c | 288$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 44c | 284$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 284$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 44c | 284$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 18c | 248.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 44c | 240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 44c | 240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Over | 45c | 157.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 151.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 53c | 119.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 45c | 87.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 47c | 70.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…2cc5backed Over | 46c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 67c | 59.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 67c | 59.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 30c | 54.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 53.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 46c | 53.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 42c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 48.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…3546backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 76c | 28.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…a164backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 64c | 18.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 68c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 68c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: FK Sileks O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: FK Sileks O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: FK Sileks O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Dynama-Minsk (-1.5)FK Sileks won
- Spread: FK Dynama-Minsk (-2.5)FK Sileks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.