Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FK Dynama-Minsk (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e3f07092f86cdc8c95a93e996aa84c1f298d1b89c504ff175ac0e1f57e9812c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Sileksof FK Dynama-Minsk, FK Sileks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 40c | 8,956$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582.4 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed FK Sileks | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 38c | 1,670$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.49 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed FK Sileks | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed FK Sileks | 60c | 1,104$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.6 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed FK Sileks | 60c | 1,050$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FK Sileks | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed FK Sileks | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed FK Sileks | 60c | 456$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FK Sileks | 60c | 333.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed FK Sileks | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed FK Sileks | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed FK Sileks | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed FK Sileks | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked FK Sileks | 60c | 294$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed FK Sileks | 60c | 288$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FK Dynama-Minsk | 39c | 269.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked FK Sileks | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed FK Sileks | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 40c | 235.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 18c | 234.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 32c | 233.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FK Sileks | 75c | 200.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FK Dynama-Minsk | 40c | 196.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed FK Sileks | 65c | 182.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked FK Dynama-Minsk | 32c | 163$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked FK Sileks | 60c | 158$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 41c | 157.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked FK Dynama-Minsk | 42c | 154.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed FK Sileks | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed FK Sileks | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked FK Sileks | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked FK Sileks | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked FK Sileks | 60c | 114$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 37c | 83.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked FK Dynama-Minsk | 35c | 72.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f95…6768backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 35c | 68.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FK Sileks | 73c | 53.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed FK Dynama-Minsk | 27c | 53.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked FK Sileks | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed FK Sileks | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FK Sileks | 65c | 42.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked FK Sileks | 60c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed FK Sileks | 62c | 39.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked FK Dynama-Minsk | 36c | 34.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed FK Sileks | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FK Sileks | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FK Dynama-Minsk (-1.5)this page
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: FK Sileks O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: FK Sileks O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: FK Sileks O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Dynama-Minsk (-2.5)FK Sileks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.