Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Hegelmann win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e306551005b7ce648424fdaf898c4ddb2b1d52ade14e38f87c87ac7f4ca17a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 45c | 44,477$20,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,055.16 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 23,411$12,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,773.94 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 37c | 14,499$5,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,391.95 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 61c | 9,998$6,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,923.8 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 57c | 4,422$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.59 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 60c | 3,413$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.89 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 1,199$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.25 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 55c | 1,104$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.8 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 36c | 1,078$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.82 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 55c | 948.59$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.95 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 42c | 945.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.17 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 859.49$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 46c | 809.91$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.56 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 53c | 736.23$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.84 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 56c | 710.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.63 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 32c | 685.44$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.34 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 59c | 685.21$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.19 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 56c | 680.42$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.51 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 55c | 676.34$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.44 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…286bbacked No | 68c | 588.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 69c | 497.5$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.74 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 61c | 469.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.69 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 55c | 456$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 403$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 403$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 403$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 12c | 386$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 376$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 35c | 372.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 46c | 335.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 46c | 303.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 33c | 302.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 61c | 294$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 61c | 288$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 23c | 272.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed No | 55c | 267.85$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 52c | 231.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 45c | 224.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 17c | 209$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 376 | 46.5%175 W · 201 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 55c | 206.14$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 59c | 203.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 33c | 196.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 47c | 182.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 55c | 158$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 155.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 53c | 150.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 24c | 144.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 69c | 130.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 55c | 114$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 46c | 108.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 64c | 104$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 52c | 101.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 58c | 97.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 371 | 43.7%162 W · 209 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 55c | 90.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed No | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 79.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 39c | 79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 61c | 76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 40c | 76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed No | 73c | 68.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 56c | 67.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Yes | 15c | 66.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Yes | 43c | 59.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 52c | 47.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 60c | 47.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked No | 52c | 45.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed No | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 36c | 37.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed No | 68c | 29.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yes | 49c | 29.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 62c | 27.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Hegelmann win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will FC Hegelmann vs. Paide Linnameeskond end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-07-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.