Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44e94b41cbc9bd721d4d68b211f0538c313bcce2b705af842ca824cafa409674
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 2,891$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.99 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 1,606$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.9 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,540$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.73 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 28c | 871$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.88 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 29c | 862.21$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.06 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 845.01$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.07 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 77c | 779.25$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.37 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 27c | 636.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.43 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 30c | 610.73$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.64 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 63c | 560$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.3 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 470.02$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 469.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.09 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 27c | 407.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 25c | 374.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…286bbacked No | 74c | 298.74$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 37c | 253.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 37c | 252.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 242.03$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 27c | 220.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 29c | 204$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yes | 29c | 174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 26c | 122.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Yes | 36c | 115.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 37c | 111.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 25c | 107.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 71c | 103.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 63c | 90.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Yes | 29c | 87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes | 29c | 87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yes | 29c | 87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 81.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yes | 28c | 78.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 35c | 73.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 72.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 45c | 67.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 71c | 64.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Yes | 19c | 52.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yes | 29c | 42.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 32c | 41.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 40.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 31c | 36.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 37c | 32.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 68c | 29.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 66c | 24.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed No | 72c | 19.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 72c | 19.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 66c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will FC Hegelmann vs. Paide Linnameeskond end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Hegelmann win on 2026-07-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.