TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0195…9f64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
676
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst Valorant at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT25768.9%177 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 257 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Anouk Koevermans vs Carole Monnetbacked Anouk Koevermans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Winston-Salem Open: Quinn Vandecasteele vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF W50 Prague Women: Xinyu Gao vs Jana Kovackovabacked Jana Kovackova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Rada Zolotareva vs Lisa Zaarbacked Rada Zolotareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Mika Petkovic vs Tim Handelbacked Mika Petkovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Facundo Yunis vs Thilo Behrmannbacked Thilo Behrmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Maria Sara Popa vs Adrienn Nagybacked Maria Sara Popa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kingston: Benjamin Willwerth vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Abdullah Shelbayhbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Prague 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Artem Alekseychuk vs Tiago Boschmansbacked Artem Alekseychuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Prague: Andrej Martin vs Javier Barranco Cosanobacked Javier Barranco Cosano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$19.5
Roehampton: Billy Blaydes vs Alexis Gautierbacked Billy Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Showing 25 of 257 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT7558.7%44 W · 31 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$16.48
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5286.5%45 W · 7 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$11.58
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.44
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$12.89
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$50.13
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Panama vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$86.6
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$52.09
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT4555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$16.47
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$21.99
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$60.93
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$99.4
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$47.45
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$11.63
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$10.72
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$35
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$17.74
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$5.73
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.37
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3873.7%28 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$16.15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerbacked WRAITH PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Abacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.92
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.61
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$56.63
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Lilmix (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Cbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2986.2%25 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$16.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$11.38
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$12.34
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$45.68
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$8.43
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$43.89
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35%+$13.98
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26%+$52.06
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$20.56
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.92
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$16.98
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.53
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2181%17 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.96
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.41
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.31
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fagiano Okayama vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$10.76
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick76cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Nordsjælland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Djurgardens IF vs. AIK: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
Will FC Volendam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$18.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick73cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$91.46
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick76cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-56.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72%+$14.39
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$16.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.51
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.