Asian League · resolved market
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80e04e7f69578716aa075a0af55868a0f796fe2323a97e11ae26152bbf0ac770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 57c | 7,633$4,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.88 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 40c | 6,914$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.68 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed No | 49c | 6,891$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 79c | 5,948$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698.78 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 5,872$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.84 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 50c | 3,644$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.33 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed Yes | 56c | 3,482$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 19c | 3,417$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.73 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 18c | 2,102$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.27 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 39c | 1,452$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.86 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 35c | 1,429$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.49 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 77c | 1,311$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.96 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,272$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.17 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 37c | 1,186$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.34 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 21c | 728.82$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.77 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed No | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 20c | 413.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3bc2backed Yes | 65c | 390$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 18c | 374.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 79c | 341$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Yes | 30c | 336.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.87 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 300.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 18c | 296.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 291.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 59c | 272.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 230.87$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.61 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…5be4backed Yes | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 7c | 209$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yes | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 26c | 187$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 66c | 182.79$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 7c | 160.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed No | 37c | 148.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes | 51c | 142.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…6834backed Yes | 58c | 142.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 125$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes | 26c | 111.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed No | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 24c | 75.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 16c | 71.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 57c | 65.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 58.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 33c | 54.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 37c | 43.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…d175backed Yes | 80c | 33.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…bb2bbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 75c | 19.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 80c | 18.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…f270backed Yes | 79c | 17.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Yes | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 79c | 13.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.