Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc589a24b8aa76ca0430175879f00d7524e484bdf3ace7755788af34341f864ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Yes | 44c | 27,216$11,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,921.85 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 54c | 7,593$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.76 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 6,183$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.11 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 6,000$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes | 52c | 4,801$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 245 | 23.3%57 W · 188 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 2,360$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.58 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 2,041$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.94 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 1,990$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.31 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 1,982$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.08 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 1,487$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Yes | 52c | 1,308$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 56c | 910$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 721.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.18 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 708.63$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.8 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 26c | 602.29$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.02 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 55c | 592$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed No | 56c | 499.94$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 215 | 52.1%112 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 355.27$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.15 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 300$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 50c | 260$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…afedbacked Yes | 23c | 213.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 43c | 179.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 59c | 156.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 56c | 156$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 56c | 156$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 152.29$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 56c | 140$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Yes | 52c | 113.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 99.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed No | 49c | 85.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 64c | 84.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Yes | 24c | 83.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 18c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 52c | 67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 26c | 53.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 78c | 52.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 44c | 44.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…5746backed Yes | 40c | 37.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 57c | 34.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 33.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…2c03backed Yes | 52c | 32.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 44c | 29.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…cba9backed No | 53c | 23.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4d…01c3backed No | 59c | 21.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?No won
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.