TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ff1…afed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
204
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12733.9%43 W · 84 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.3%+$517.28
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
France vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+180.8%+$47.01
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+167.1%+$33.42
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+174%+$52.19
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$73.33
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+291.5%+$87.45
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester United FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$334.62
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$90.9
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.45
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$25.15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferrobacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zhangbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyerbacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizubacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Bolelli/Vavassoribacked Bolelli/Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dartbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$186.67
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$81.21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$83.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Portland Firebacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.