WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fb12e997007dd979df3fa3e24e21e65001f78db2728b3e0bbd35c18140cadca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Portland Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Portland Fire | 3c | 17,139$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.12 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Portland Fire | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Mystics | 62c | 7,763$4,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.94 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Portland Fire | 65c | 5,671$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.38 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Portland Fire | 36c | 5,111$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.48 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Washington Mystics | 42c | 4,164$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.54 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Mystics | 64c | 3,407$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.83 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 2,296$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.77 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portland Fire | 50c | 2,289$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.46 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Portland Fire | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.92 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Portland Fire | 4c | 2,085$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Portland Fire | 10c | 2,069$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.76 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Washington Mystics | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Mystics | 40c | 1,980$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.23 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics | 66c | 1,861$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.02 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Portland Fire | 36c | 1,730$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.78 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Portland Fire | 8c | 1,658$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Mystics | 64c | 1,627$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.4 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…ecb8backed Washington Mystics | 64c | 1,542$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Washington Mystics | 39c | 1,491$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Portland Fire | 38c | 1,284$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.53 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Washington Mystics | 62c | 1,280$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Washington Mystics | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Portland Fire | 52c | 1,151$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.26 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 1,132$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.16 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…4715backed Portland Fire | 77c | 1,086$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.23 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2a…8687backed Portland Fire | 36c | 1,047$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Portland Fire | 54c | 1,010$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Washington Mystics | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Washington Mystics | 63c | 999.95$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.98 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9d…cf12backed Portland Fire | 42c | 960.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Portland Fire | 40c | 960.6$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.6 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Mystics | 64c | 942.88$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.44 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Portland Fire | 32c | 917.5$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Portland Fire | 42c | 892.78$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.12 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Portland Fire | 73c | 827$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.74 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Portland Fire | 30c | 742.91$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.76 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…29dcbacked Portland Fire | 68c | 730.96$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Washington Mystics | 43c | 730.64$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.12 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 710.02$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.9 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 707.37$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.32 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Portland Fire | 37c | 615$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.55 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 603.96$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Washington Mystics | 64c | 581.71$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.49 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…1d8fbacked Portland Fire | 40c | 545.68$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Portland Fire | 36c | 499.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Portland Fire | 42c | 468.26$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.67 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Portland Fire | 37c | 459.28$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.76 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Washington Mystics | 64c | 458$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Portland Fire | 48c | 449.74$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Washington Mystics | 62c | 423$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.81 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Portland Fire | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.22 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 397.3$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.65 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Washington Mystics | 64c | 397.13$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 395.87$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.09 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Portland Fire | 55c | 371.43$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.18 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…0ed7backed Washington Mystics | 69c | 370$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Washington Mystics | 72c | 364.3$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Washington Mystics | 42c | 341.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.61 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Portland Fire | 37c | 316.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 312.65$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.23 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Washington Mystics | 66c | 304.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Portland Fire | 54c | 300.4$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.79 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…42d9backed Portland Fire | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Portland Fire | 35c | 296$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Washington Mystics | 39c | 294.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…dd32backed Portland Fire | 37c | 292.81$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Washington Mystics | 42c | 277.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.64 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Mystics | 79c | 263.2$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 261.22$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Mystics | 63c | 260.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Washington Mystics | 62c | 238.1$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Portland Fire | 54c | 233.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.34 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Washington Mystics | 75c | 218.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…c45bbacked Portland Fire | 47c | 208.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…c4ddbacked Portland Fire | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Portland Fire | 35c | 195.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Washington Mystics | 67c | 190.56$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Washington Mystics | 66c | 183.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Portland Fire | 56c | 179.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Washington Mystics | 58c | 165.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Portland Fire | 41c | 156.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Washington Mystics | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Washington Mystics | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Washington Mystics | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Portland Fire | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Washington Mystics | 31c | 142.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Washington Mystics | 66c | 130.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Washington Mystics | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Washington Mystics | 63c | 128.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Portland Fire | 23c | 123.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…afedbacked Portland Fire | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Portland Fire | 46c | 112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…abb5backed Portland Fire | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Portland Fire | 35c | 106.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Portland Fire | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9085…34fabacked Portland Fire | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Portland Fire | 34c | 98.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Portland Firethis page
- Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)Portland Fire won
- Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 163.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 164.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 165.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.