WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab6aea02785f97a312559d40058a7191a6ff86f4ed4aace860dbbc3c7a09ddcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 14,815$7,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,339.48 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Under | 47c | 6,539$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.25 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 48c | 5,784$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.53 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 3,584$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.96 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 2,747$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.06 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 1,725$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.82 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 1,292$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.62 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 44c | 985.32$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.78 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…ca29backed Over | 51c | 937.31$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.28 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 738.08$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.93 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 715.57$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.26 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 49c | 639.99$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.6 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 602.73$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 41c | 585.54$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.47 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Under | 53c | 567.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 486.11$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.2 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 391.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.12 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 53c | 383.48$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 51c | 382.38$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.57 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 56c | 382.13$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 50c | 308$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 48c | 307$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 299.9$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.95 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 251.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 69c | 201.18$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 196$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 54c | 183.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 47c | 173.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…0c9fbacked Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 48c | 149.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 53c | 112.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Over | 53c | 112.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 106$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…d13ebacked Under | 49c | 102.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 36c | 100.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 99.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…568abacked Over | 53c | 89.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0938…a9a8backed Under | 49c | 85.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 49c | 78.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 52c | 78.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 50c | 74.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 51c | 70.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 48c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 50c | 57.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 44.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…b6c4backed Under | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 51c | 27.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 47c | 27.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Under | 48c | 26.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Over | 50c | 24.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…b490backed Over | 53c | 23.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Under | 51c | 22.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 165.5this page
- Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)Portland Fire won
- Washington Mystics vs. Portland FireWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 163.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 164.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.