WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9da0a6bf0a3bc71aa56cc365adff515ba9b4ec8ea780920459ca6fcc248ccc30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Fireof Washington Mystics, Portland Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Portland Fire | 52c | 8,241$4,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.68 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Washington Mystics | 43c | 5,400$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.92 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Portland Fire | 50c | 4,918$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.09 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 4,790$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.06 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 4,293$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.77 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 3,705$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.02 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland Fire | 57c | 2,594$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.22 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland Fire | 63c | 2,499$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.68 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Portland Fire | 54c | 2,267$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.93 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Washington Mystics | 32c | 1,370$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Portland Fire | 58c | 1,043$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.18 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 830.04$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.53 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Portland Fire | 54c | 824.1$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.09 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Washington Mystics | 42c | 750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 748$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.04 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Portland Fire | 57c | 730.85$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.26 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Portland Fire | 52c | 593$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.05 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Portland Fire | 56c | 527.32$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.71 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Portland Fire | 56c | 300.87$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Washington Mystics | 43c | 286.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 269.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 261.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Portland Fire | 52c | 215.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 210.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Washington Mystics | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Portland Fire | 52c | 194.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 171.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Washington Mystics | 43c | 145.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Portland Fire | 54c | 144.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…843fbacked Washington Mystics | 43c | 136.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…2348backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 133.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 128$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Portland Fire | 41c | 127.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 127.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Washington Mystics | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Portland Fire | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 99.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Portland Fire | 53c | 89.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…26b3backed Washington Mystics | 43c | 75.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 64.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Portland Fire | 57c | 60.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Washington Mystics | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 47.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 45.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Portland Fire | 54c | 41.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Portland Fire | 54c | 41.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Portland Fire | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Portland Fire | 62c | 30.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Washington Mystics | 41c | 28.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…bbc4backed Portland Fire | 52c | 27.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 27.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…f3eabacked Portland Fire | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Portland Fire | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…b90bbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 20.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Portland Fire | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)this page
- Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Portland FireWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 163.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 164.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 165.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.