WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cf39b9e850f0fdcc523cd68c0fb2f011018da59f48df7afa444e12650a0c89a

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Portland Fire
Resolved: Aug 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,171 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4df3…788fbacked Portland Fire	50c	9,425$4,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,708.06	386	50.3%194 W · 192 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5856…d005backed Washington Mystics	46c	4,869$2,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,629.45	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Washington Mystics	58c	3,946$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,645.81	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8e…7ec6backed Portland Fire	54c	3,680$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Mystics	52c	3,574$1,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,701.07	269	53.2%143 W · 126 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Mystics	50c	2,874$1,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,437	405	50.9%206 W · 199 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Portland Fire	61c	2,417$1,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470.92	1,611	50.2%809 W · 802 L	+37.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Washington Mystics	53c	1,691$893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798.2	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Washington Mystics	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Mystics	47c	1,159$547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.15	371	41.2%153 W · 218 L	-13.3wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Portland Fire	45c	1,105$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.61	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Washington Mystics	50c	842.14$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.26	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Portland Fire	52c	622.28$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.37	995	48.1%479 W · 516 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Washington Mystics	54c	537.38$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.63	252	46%116 W · 136 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Portland Fire	45c	491.64$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.48	411	47%193 W · 218 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Portland Fire	7c	468.15$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.7	154	51.9%80 W · 74 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Portland Fire	55c	464$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.2	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Portland Fire	38c	441.39$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.53	321	50.2%161 W · 160 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Portland Fire	64c	349.9$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.38	893	49.4%441 W · 452 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Portland Fire	41c	323$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.43	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Portland Fire	12c	320.51$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Portland Fire	30c	313.21$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.51	245	46.9%115 W · 130 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Portland Fire	44c	311$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.75	922	48.8%450 W · 472 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Portland Fire	47c	300$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	96	51%49 W · 47 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Washington Mystics	54c	292.06$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.08	239	55.2%132 W · 107 L	+12.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Washington Mystics	54c	283.07$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.57	306	49%150 W · 156 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Washington Mystics	46c	267.99$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.94	243	47.7%116 W · 127 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9085…34fabacked Portland Fire	49c	222$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.78	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Portland Fire	50c	167.12$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.27	310	43.2%134 W · 176 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Portland Fire	45c	143.7$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.25	286	47.9%137 W · 149 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Portland Fire	61c	133.29$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.84	364	54.1%197 W · 167 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Portland Fire	41c	128$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.48	84	38.1%32 W · 52 L	-7.7wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Portland Fire	42c	123$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.66	179	46.9%84 W · 95 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	785	48.8%383 W · 402 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Washington Mystics	50c	120$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	270	49.6%134 W · 136 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Washington Mystics	72c	110.99$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.55	157	41.4%65 W · 92 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Portland Fire	45c	105$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.7	323	46.7%151 W · 172 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed Portland Fire	43c	104.65$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Portland Fire	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	749	42.3%317 W · 432 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Washington Mystics	65c	91.82$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.14	229	67.7%155 W · 74 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland Fire	55c	86.24$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.73	509	52.5%267 W · 242 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Washington Mystics	53c	76.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.19	641	52%333 W · 308 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Washington Mystics	47c	74.47$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.47	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Portland Fire	45c	69$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.05	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Washington Mystics	70c	62.69$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.75	347	53.9%187 W · 160 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Portland Fire	46c	47.83$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	712	45.4%323 W · 389 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Washington Mystics	52c	42.12$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.22	237	46.4%110 W · 127 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Portland Fire	54c	42$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.68	506	46.8%237 W · 269 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Washington Mystics	50c	41.82$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.91	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Washington Mystics	53c	33.05$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.53	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Portland Fire	61c	31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.82	89	62.9%56 W · 33 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Portland Fire	49c	30.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Portland Fire	38c	30.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.43	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Washington Mystics	35c	29.48$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.16	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+50.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Portland Fire	46c	27.78$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	399	47.1%188 W · 211 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Washington Mystics	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa28f…d3a8backed Portland Fire	70c	27.47$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Portland Fire	46c	27.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Mystics	46c	26.52$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.32	378	50%189 W · 189 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Portland Fire	48c	26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	100	50%50 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Washington Mystics	52c	23$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.04	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Portland Fire	60c	21.8$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.03	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)this page
Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)Portland Fire won
Washington Mystics vs. Portland FireWashington Mystics won
Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 163.5Over won
Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 164.5Over won
Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 165.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event