TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x31db…9c36

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$17.45
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 191.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$13.94
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 183.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$13
Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 188.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$21.9
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Cupid Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.73
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.79
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$30.07
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Abacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.15
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.99
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$15.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$15.78
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$18.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BAL vs. MIN: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Panthers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
CLE vs. CHI: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Boston Celticsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.