WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37f16bb92aac525b97556666fcaf60da33e2133f4a8453d72266f229a9bb04fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 55c | 15,453$8,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,498.97 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 45c | 13,333$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.32 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 3,800$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.51 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 2,280$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.55 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 1,588$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.08 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,325$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.66 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 1,293$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.18 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 1,161$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.31 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 10c | 1,042$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 52c | 860.57$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.92 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 56c | 753.86$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.7 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 715.32$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.25 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Over | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Over | 43c | 483.52$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 35c | 390.23$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 45c | 370.34$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.38 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Under | 56c | 366.25$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.15 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 12c | 202.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Over | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 192.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 20c | 157.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…0512backed Over | 60c | 147.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Over | 69c | 136.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Over | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 55c | 112$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 67c | 105.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…3acdbacked Under | 75c | 87.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 87.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 59c | 81.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 54c | 77.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Over | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…1f23backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…614dbacked Over | 49c | 61.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 48c | 50.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 52c | 50.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 55c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 47c | 26.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 46c | 22.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Under | 77c | 19.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Over | 53c | 19.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed Under | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.