WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa92343b5940c416813e2ee2b57b31769b7a33da7531d94e2699438d6a099f6e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Under | 48c | 2,158$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.26 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 2,119$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.34 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 36c | 1,493$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.27 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 880.53$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.63 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 50c | 874$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 34c | 599.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 74c | 570.58$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 567.33$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.01 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 554.02$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.01 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 510.8$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.4 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 48c | 468.55$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.71 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 409$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.87 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Over | 53c | 332.08$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 47c | 332.08$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 304.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.3 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 255.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 47c | 219.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 204.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 50c | 199.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 194.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 57c | 194.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 153.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 136.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 134.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Over | 38c | 134.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Under | 57c | 95.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 47c | 91.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 61c | 81.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 53c | 77.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 66c | 74.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 51c | 53.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…888fbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 50c | 42.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 50c | 32.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 68c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 66c | 20.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Under | 66c | 18.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.