WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc72a71331d68e5ffc5e78fcc0ddfbbb94b585fa0761c0695112093f2e8a1113d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 51c | 67,587$34,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,413.61 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 32,391$15,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,519.3 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed Under | 49c | 16,313$7,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,319.73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…3735backed Over | 50c | 11,338$5,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,724.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 52c | 10,576$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.53 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 50c | 5,286$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.5 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 3,484$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.83 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 3,440$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.61 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 3,333$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.55 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 3,184$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.96 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 28c | 2,768$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.66 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 47c | 2,309$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.31 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 49c | 1,869$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 50c | 1,500$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 1,154$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.37 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 1,048$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.79 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 965.81$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.56 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Over | 50c | 805.78$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 685$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.35 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 45c | 679.98$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.19 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 654$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 458.47$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.19 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Over | 50c | 450.66$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Over | 44c | 435.75$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 65c | 406.24$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…ae17backed Under | 49c | 349.92$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 349.26$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 76c | 303$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 48c | 270$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 256$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 215.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Over | 14c | 195.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Over | 33c | 148.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Over | 11c | 129.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 72c | 113.46$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 57c | 113.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 69c | 109.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 103$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe72…900fbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 56c | 98.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 49c | 97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Over | 51c | 92.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 77.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 74c | 77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Under | 66c | 75.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 74c | 72.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…ad73backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 52c | 58.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked Over | 31c | 56.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 51c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 48c | 33.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…0e20backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…4420backed Under | 50c | 29.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897f…6b3ebacked Over | 49c | 28.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 48c | 26.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 65c | 19.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 79c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.