WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55fb5d5ee7f743c53e4368326c8453a1006f3dfd8df65ea9d93f582c69a2b0e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Connecticut Sun, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2203…84e6backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 17,906$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.63 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe8…06c9backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 11,283$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Connecticut Sun | 18c | 10,901$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.18 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 8,344$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Connecticut Sun | 14c | 3,794$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.16 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…0935backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 1,483$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 1,346$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.26 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 1,303$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.45 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Connecticut Sun | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Connecticut Sun | 6c | 678.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed Connecticut Sun | 8c | 674.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 665.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…755fbacked Connecticut Sun | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Connecticut Sun | 4c | 550$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 542.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Connecticut Sun | 21c | 485.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Connecticut Sun | 4c | 484.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 433$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Dallas Wings | 78c | 403.34$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Connecticut Sun | 15c | 388.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 346.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 344.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Connecticut Sun | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 259$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Connecticut Sun | 17c | 236$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Connecticut Sun | 22c | 233.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Connecticut Sun | 18c | 188.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 175$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Connecticut Sun | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Connecticut Sun | 9c | 172.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Connecticut Sun | 19c | 151.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Connecticut Sun | 20c | 138.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…60f8backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 135.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Dallas Wings | 78c | 112$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Connecticut Sun | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Connecticut Sun | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Connecticut Sun | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked Connecticut Sun | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…e334backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad00…48babacked Connecticut Sun | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Connecticut Sun | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Connecticut Sun | 15c | 99.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Connecticut Sun | 16c | 94.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Connecticut Sun | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…44b1backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Dallas Wings | 79c | 49.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Dallas Wings | 79c | 14.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wingsthis page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.