TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b8d…44b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
378
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT19457.2%111 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 194 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+233.2%+$349.82
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+156.7%+$196.72
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$562.27
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150.3%+$931.1
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+134.3%+$416.48
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.74
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$172.91
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.46
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$160.56
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.16
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.34
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$170.52
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$169.78
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$76.15
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 194 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.75
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$25.96
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$8.63
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Skybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.8
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$16.94
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$9.91
Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Skybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFirebacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$37.3
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
PortlandFire vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Feverbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT5060%30 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$70.65
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$71.41
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+102%+$61.22
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$91.26
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$180.77
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.69
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18.22
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.5
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
All 4 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$60.5
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$136.74
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.